Who to start · 2025-26
Robert Thomas vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Thomas had 64 points in 64 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Thomas has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Thomas's 1.9.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Thomas's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.4, On-ice PDO 1045, Luck Meter +53.
Hertl's biggest edges: Hits 114, Hardest shot 89.5, Shots on goal 202.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Thomas 42–36.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Robert Thomas
1.89
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Robert Thomas has the edge.
| Points per game from | Thomas | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.57 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Thomas vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Thomas 7G 8A, 40 SOG · Hertl 6G 6A, 47 SOG
Thomas's offensive zone 13–11 · neutral 7–14 · Thomas's defensive zone 16–17 (2019-20 to 2025-26)
Thomas blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Thomas's.
On the ice against each other (Thomas's side)
9:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Thomas's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–9
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.3
- 70.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Thomas | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | STL 2–4 VGK | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-02 | STL 4–3 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-15 | STL 1–4 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-23 | STL 2–4 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-01-20 | STL 5–4 VGK | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-11 | STL 3–4 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-16 | STL 1–5 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-09 | STL 4–2 SJS | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-03-02 | STL 6–3 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-11-10 | STL 5–3 SJS | 0G 2A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-21 | STL 3–1 SJS | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-18 | STL 4–1 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 23 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Robert Thomas
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Robert Thomas or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Robert Thomas projects to 1.89 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Thomas had 64 points in 64 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Robert Thomas or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Thomas and Hertl done against each other?
- In 23 games against each other in our data, Thomas's team went 14–9. Thomas had 15 points (7 goals) and Hertl had 12 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Thomas or Hertl?
- Against each other, Thomas has won 36 and Hertl 42 of their 78 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →