Draw Duel

Sam Morton faceoff stats, 2025-26

CGY · C · Left shot · full player page

Model rating

—

Only 31 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.

2025-26 FO%

66.7%

16 won of 24 (regular season)

Strong / weak side

70.0% / 62.5%

10 strong-side, 8 weak-side draws this season

Next game

No projection scheduled.

Where Morton wins draws

Win % at every dot, 2025-26 and 2024-25 regular season, in his own attacking direction.

Offensive zone at the right, his left at the top. Warm = above 50%, cool = below; bigger circles = more draws. Hollow circles have under 10 draws.

Show as a table

Sam Morton faceoff win % by dot
Dot	Draws	Won	FO%
OZ left	2	2	100.0%
OZ right	0	0	—
NZ left (att.)	4	1	25.0%
NZ right (att.)	4	3	75.0%
Centre	6	4	66.7%
NZ left (def.)	4	3	75.0%
NZ right (def.)	2	0	0.0%
DZ left	4	3	75.0%
DZ right	5	4	80.0%

Toughest and easiest opponents

Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.

Toughest

Claude Giroux OTT · R35.1%
Aatu Räty VAN · L35.8%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R36.1%
Vincent Trocheck UTA · R36.6%
J.T. Miller NYR · L36.7%
Auston Matthews TOR · L36.9%

Easiest

Jack Hughes NJD · L56.5%
Noah Ostlund BUF · L56.1%
Trevor Zegras PHI · L55.0%
Danila Yurov MIN · L53.3%
Pavel Buchnevich STL · L53.0%
Calum Ritchie NYI · R52.9%

Splits by season

Faceoff win % by season and situation, with draws taken.
Season	All	EV	PP	PK	OZ	NZ	DZ	Strong	Weak
2025-26	66.7% 24	57.9% 19	100.0% 1	100.0% 4	100.0% 1	56.3% 16	85.7% 7	70.0% 10	62.5% 8
2024-25	57.1% 7	66.7% 6	— 0	0.0% 1	100.0% 1	50.0% 4	50.0% 2	50.0% 4	66.7% 3

Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.

Head-to-head, last three seasons

Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.

Head-to-head faceoff records with model expectation and shrunk estimate.
Opponent	Record	Raw	Model	Blended	Unusual?
Ryan Donato	3–1	75.0%	58.2%	58.4%	normal luck (z 0.7)
Ryan McLeod	2–2	50.0%	45.8%	45.8%	normal luck (z 0.2)
Colton Dach	3–0	100.0%	51.9%	52.2%	a bit unusual (z 1.7)
Samuel Helenius	3–0	100.0%	49.8%	50.1%	a bit unusual (z 1.7)
Radek Faksa	1–2	33.3%	36.9%	36.9%	normal luck (z -0.1)
Josh Dunne	1–1	50.0%	45.5%	45.5%	normal luck (z 0.1)
Frank Nazar	2–0	100.0%	50.3%	50.5%	a bit unusual (z 1.4)
Tage Thompson	0–2	0.0%	49.7%	49.5%	a bit unusual (z -1.4)
Roope Hintz	1–0	100.0%	34.3%	34.4%	a bit unusual (z 1.4)
Taylor Ward	0–1	0.0%	55.0%	54.9%	a bit unusual (z -1.1)
Quinton Byfield	0–1	0.0%	55.4%	55.3%	a bit unusual (z -1.1)
Alex Turcotte	0–1	0.0%	36.1%	36.1%	normal luck (z -0.8)

Last 10 games

Faceoffs taken and won in his last ten games.
Date	Opp	FOW	Draws	FO%
2025-11-22	vs DAL	3	5	60.0%
2025-11-19	@ BUF	5	10	50.0%
2025-11-18	@ CHI	8	9	88.9%
2025-04-17	@ LAK	4	7	57.1%

Projected faceoffs won

No upcoming games projected.

FAQ

What is Sam Morton's faceoff percentage?

The season line above shows Sam Morton's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.

How many faceoffs will Sam Morton win tonight?

When Sam Morton has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.

Is Sam Morton better on his strong side?

Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.