Who to start · 2025-26
Alex Tuch vs Connor McDavid
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Tuch's 2.42.
Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.
This week Tuch has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; McDavid has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tuch for 2.4 ESPN points to McDavid's 2.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tuch's biggest edges: Hardest shot 89.3, On-ice PDO 1044, Blocked shots 90.
McDavid's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Offensive-zone time 47.7%, Power-play share 88.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex Tuch
2.42
fantasy points per game
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tuch | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 1.15 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.39 | 1.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.05 | 0.35 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.57 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tuch vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tuch 4G 4A, 29 SOG · McDavid 10G 15A, 51 SOG
Tuch's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Tuch's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19)
Tuch blocked 0 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 2 of Tuch's.
On the ice against each other (Tuch's side)
10:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tuch's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–9
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.3
- 65.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tuch | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | BUF 4–3 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2025-11-17 | BUF 5–1 EDM | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-10 | BUF 3–2 EDM | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-21 | BUF 3–8 EDM | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 4A 0S |
| 2024-03-09 | BUF 3–2 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-10-18 | BUF 4–2 EDM | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-17 | BUF 1–6 EDM | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2019-11-23 | VGK 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2019-04-01 | VGK 3–1 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-03-17 | VGK 6–3 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2018-12-01 | VGK 1–2 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 8S |
| 2018-11-18 | VGK 6–3 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex Tuch
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.4 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex Tuch or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alex Tuch's 2.42. Tuch had 66 points in 79 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex Tuch or Connor McDavid?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tuch and McDavid done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Tuch's team went 9–7. Tuch had 8 points (4 goals) and McDavid had 25 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tuch or McDavid?
- Against each other, Tuch has won 0 and McDavid 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →