Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Anton Lundell vs Peyton Krebs

Steady−1:35 TOI a game
FallingOn-ice xGF/60 1.55 (was 3.15)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anton Lundell projects to 1.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Peyton Krebs's 1.06.

Lundell had 44 points in 64 games; Krebs had 39 in 82 games.

This week Lundell has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Krebs has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Lundell for 4.4 to Krebs's 2.0 over the games left.

Anton Lundell has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Lundell's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 2:39, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Draw Equity /100 +0.034.

Krebs's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.3, Plus/minus +13, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.013.

Head to head on the dot, Krebs leads Lundell 16–14.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Anton Lundell rates ahead, +1.0 to -0.9 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Lundell is steady, −1:35 TOI a game; Krebs is falling, On-ice xGF/60 1.55 (was 3.15).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 25 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Florida Panthers · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Anton Lundell

+1.0

category z-score total

Peyton Krebs

-0.9

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Anton Lundell has the edge (Lundell wins 3, Krebs wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryLundellKrebs
Goals / game0.220.09
Assists / game0.340.37
Plus/minus / game-0.160.02
Power-play points / game0.150.01
Shots on goal / game2.390.96
Hits / game1.272.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Lundell vs Krebs

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LundellKrebs
12Team record in 17 meetings5
10Points in those games6

Lundell 6G 4A, 35 SOG · Krebs 1G 5A, 16 SOG

14Faceoffs against each other16

Lundell's offensive zone 1–8 · neutral 5–5 · Lundell's defensive zone 8–3 (2021-22 to 2026-27)

1Hits on each other1
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Lundell's side)

22:04 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Lundell's side

Shot attempts
25–31
44.6%
Expected goals
0.7–1.7
30.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Anton Lundell and Peyton Krebs
DateScoreLundellKrebs
2026-10-12FLA 3–5 BUF1G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2026-02-27FLA 2–3 BUF0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2026-01-12FLA 4–3 BUF1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-18FLA 0–3 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-12FLA 3–2 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-08FLA 4–0 BUF1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-28FLA 5–2 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-12FLA 2–5 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-04-13FLA 3–2 BUF1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-27FLA 3–2 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-15FLA 4–0 BUF1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-04FLA 2–1 BUF0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Faceoffs: Lundell vs Krebs

Model: Anton Lundell wins 55.8% of draws against Peyton Krebs on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Anton Lundell's predicted win % against Peyton Krebs at each dot, in Lundell's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Lundell atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home62%49%63%50%56%63%50%64%51%
Road60%48%61%49%56%61%49%63%50%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2026-27: Lundell 12–11 (52.2%). Blended with the model: 55.7%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Lundell faceoffs · Krebs faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LundellKrebs

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Anton Lundell

3games

4.4proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.3 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Peyton Krebs

2games

2.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.9 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Anton Lundell or Peyton Krebs in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Anton Lundell projects to 1.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Peyton Krebs's 1.06. Lundell had 44 points in 64 games; Krebs had 39 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Anton Lundell or Peyton Krebs?
On 2025-26 numbers, Anton Lundell leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lundell and Krebs done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Lundell's team went 12–5. Lundell had 10 points (6 goals) and Krebs had 6 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lundell or Krebs?
Against each other, Lundell has won 14 and Krebs 16 of their 30 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →