Who to start · 2025-26
Bo Horvat vs Brock Nelson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07.
Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games.
This week Horvat has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nelson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Horvat for 1.5 ESPN points to Nelson's 1.3.
Brock Nelson has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Horvat's biggest edges: Hardest shot 93.4, Transition attempts /60 1.38, Draw Equity /100 +0.077.
Nelson's biggest edges: High-danger chances 57.1%, Scoring chances 58.3%, Expected goals 60.0%.
Head to head on the dot, Horvat leads Nelson 38–28.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 3 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Bo Horvat
2.07
fantasy points per game
Brock Nelson
2.23
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Brock Nelson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Horvat | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.85 | 0.89 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Horvat vs Nelson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Horvat 5G 4A, 30 SOG · Nelson 5G 8A, 23 SOG
Horvat's offensive zone 10–11 · neutral 13–10 · Horvat's defensive zone 15–7 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Horvat's side)
5:56 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Horvat's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–11
- 38.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.8
- 23.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Horvat | Nelson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | NYI 6–3 COL | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-11-16 | NYI 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-03 | VAN 2–6 NYI | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-03-03 | VAN 4–3 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-02-09 | VAN 3–6 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2020-03-10 | VAN 5–4 NYI | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 6S |
| 2020-02-01 | VAN 4–3 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2019-02-23 | VAN 0–4 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2018-11-13 | VAN 2–5 NYI | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2018-03-05 | VAN 4–3 NYI | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2017-11-28 | VAN 2–5 NYI | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Bo Horvat
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.5 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)
Brock Nelson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.3 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Bo Horvat or Brock Nelson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brock Nelson projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Bo Horvat's 2.07. Horvat had 57 points in 68 games; Nelson had 65 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Bo Horvat or Brock Nelson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Brock Nelson leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Horvat and Nelson done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Horvat's team went 5–6. Horvat had 9 points (5 goals) and Nelson had 13 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Horvat or Nelson?
- Against each other, Horvat has won 38 and Nelson 28 of their 66 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →