Who to start · 2025-26
Colton Sissons vs Connor McDavid
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Sissons's 1.04.
Sissons had 11 points in 66 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games.
This week Sissons has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; McDavid has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project McDavid for 6.1 to Sissons's 1.9 over the games left.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Sissons's biggest edges: Hits 93, Faceoff win % 56.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.074.
McDavid's biggest edges: Assists 90, Points 138, Plus/minus +17.
Head to head on the dot, Sissons leads McDavid 26–19.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Connor McDavid rates ahead, +21.0 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Sissons is steady, 4 P in last 5 (0.15/GP before); McDavid is rising, 14 P in last 5 (2.00/GP before).
- • Sissons, 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
- • Sissons, last 10 games (Sep 30–Oct 20): 2 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
- • McDavid, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 20 A, 8 PPP, 22 SOG.
Toronto Maple Leafs · Edmonton Oilers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Colton Sissons
-2.1
category z-score total
Connor McDavid
+21.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Connor McDavid has the edge (Sissons wins 1, McDavid wins 5 of 6 categories).
| Category | Sissons | McDavid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.13 | 0.62 |
| Assists / game | 0.16 | 1.52 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.06 | 0.84 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.02 | 0.74 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.15 | 3.25 |
| Hits / game | 1.81 | 0.85 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Sissons vs McDavid
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Sissons 2G 3A, 17 SOG · McDavid 14G 30A, 81 SOG
Sissons's offensive zone 6–4 · neutral 13–2 · Sissons's defensive zone 7–13 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Sissons blocked 2 of McDavid's shots; McDavid blocked 0 of Sissons's.
On the ice against each other (Sissons's side)
9:31 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Sissons's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–7
- 61.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.5
- 34.8%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Sissons | McDavid |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | VGK 5–1 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2026-03-26 | VGK 3–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2026-03-08 | VGK 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-12-21 | VGK 3–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2024-11-14 | NSH 2–3 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 8S |
| 2024-10-17 | NSH 2–4 EDM | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-27 | NSH 1–4 EDM | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 3A 5S |
| 2023-11-04 | NSH 5–2 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-10-17 | NSH 1–6 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-12-19 | NSH 4–3 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2022-12-13 | NSH 3–6 EDM | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 3A 6S |
| 2022-11-01 | NSH 4–7 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 2A 8S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Faceoffs: Sissons vs McDavid
Model: Colton Sissons wins 56.0% of draws against Connor McDavid on average (R shot vs L shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Sissons at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 54% | 58% | 55% | 56% | 58% | 55% | 59% | 56% |
| Road | 56% | 53% | 57% | 54% | 56% | 57% | 54% | 58% | 55% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Sissons 9–4 (69.2%). Blended with the model: 56.3%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 1.0); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Colton Sissons
4games (2 left)
1.9proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs SJSOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ CBJB2B
- Thu, Oct 22 vs NYR1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to Cvs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sat, Oct 24 @ EDM1.0 pts
Connor McDavid
3games (2 left)
6.1proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs MINOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs CAR2.9 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to Cvs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs TOR3.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Colton Sissons or Connor McDavid in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.76 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Sissons's 1.04. Sissons had 11 points in 66 games; McDavid had 138 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Colton Sissons or Connor McDavid?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Sissons and McDavid done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Sissons's team went 7–15. Sissons had 5 points (2 goals) and McDavid had 44 (14 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Sissons or McDavid?
- Against each other, Sissons has won 26 and McDavid 19 of their 45 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →