Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Colton Sissons vs Macklin Celebrini

Steady4 P in last 5 (0.15/GP before)
SurgingixG/60 1.90 (was 1.10)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Sissons's 1.04.

Sissons had 11 points in 66 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games.

This week Sissons has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Celebrini has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Celebrini for 5.3 to Sissons's 1.9 over the games left.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Sissons's biggest edges: High-danger chances 55.3%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.020, Draw Equity /100 +0.074.

Celebrini's biggest edges: Luck Meter +76, Assists 70, On-ice PDO 1036.

Head to head on the dot, Celebrini leads Sissons 20–14.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Macklin Celebrini rates ahead, +13.2 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Sissons is steady, 4 P in last 5 (0.15/GP before); Celebrini is surging, ixG/60 1.90 (was 1.10).

  • • Sissons, 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • Sissons, last 10 games (Sep 30–Oct 20): 2 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • Celebrini has played 8 of the Sharks' 10 games since Oct 1 (in and out of the lineup).
  • • Celebrini, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 5 G, 9 A, 8 PPP, 37 SOG.

Toronto Maple Leafs · San Jose Sharks · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Colton Sissons

-2.1

category z-score total

Macklin Celebrini

+13.2

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Macklin Celebrini has the edge (Sissons wins 1, Celebrini wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategorySissonsCelebrini
Goals / game0.130.58
Assists / game0.160.95
Plus/minus / game-0.060.06
Power-play points / game0.020.61
Shots on goal / game1.153.89
Hits / game1.810.64

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Sissons vs Celebrini

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SissonsCelebrini
8Team record in 8 meetings0
5Points in those games5

Sissons 2G 3A, 10 SOG · Celebrini 3G 2A, 26 SOG

14Faceoffs against each other20

Sissons's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 7–4 · Sissons's defensive zone 6–13 (2024-25 to 2026-27)

On the ice against each other (Sissons's side)

16:39 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Sissons's side

Shot attempts
8–19
29.6%
Expected goals
0.3–1.0
24.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Colton Sissons and Macklin Celebrini
DateScoreSissonsCelebrini
2026-10-19TOR 3–1 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2026-01-11VGK 7–2 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-23VGK 7–2 SJS1G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-29VGK 4–3 SJS1G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2025-10-09VGK 4–3 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-11NSH 3–2 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-23NSH 6–5 SJS0G 1A 1S1G 0A 8S
2025-01-21NSH 7–5 SJS0G 1A 0S1G 1A 3S

Faceoffs: Sissons vs Celebrini

Model: Colton Sissons wins 56.3% of draws against Macklin Celebrini on average (R shot vs L shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.

Colton Sissons's predicted win % against Macklin Celebrini at each dot, in Sissons's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Sissons atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home55%56%56%58%57%56%58%57%59%
Road54%55%55%56%56%55%56%56%57%

Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2026-27: Sissons 14–20 (41.2%). Blended with the model: 55.3%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.8); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Sissons faceoffs · Celebrini faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SissonsCelebrini

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

SissonsCelebrini

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Colton Sissons

4games (2 left)

1.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 vs SJS
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ CBJB2B
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs NYR1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to Cvs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ EDM1.0 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +1.8 win%Likely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
San Jose Sharks logo

Macklin Celebrini

4games (2 left)

5.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ TOR
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ MTLB2B
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ OTT2.8 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Samuel Ersson (.870)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ BOS2.5 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Colton Sissons or Macklin Celebrini in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Sissons's 1.04. Sissons had 11 points in 66 games; Celebrini had 115 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Colton Sissons or Macklin Celebrini?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sissons and Celebrini done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Sissons's team went 8–0. Sissons had 5 points (2 goals) and Celebrini had 5 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Sissons or Celebrini?
Against each other, Sissons has won 14 and Celebrini 20 of their 34 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →