Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Eetu Luostarinen vs Peyton Krebs

Cooling0 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before)
FallingOn-ice xGF/60 1.55 (was 3.15)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eetu Luostarinen projects to 1.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Peyton Krebs's 1.06.

Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; Krebs had 39 in 82 games.

This week Luostarinen has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Krebs has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Luostarinen for 3.8 to Krebs's 2.0 over the games left.

Eetu Luostarinen has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Luostarinen's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.50, Corsi 52.9%, Scoring chances 54.3%.

Krebs's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 168, Top skating speed 23.3, Goals above expected +1.1.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Eetu Luostarinen rates ahead, -0.8 to -0.9 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Luostarinen is cooling, 0 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before); Krebs is falling, On-ice xGF/60 1.55 (was 3.15).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Florida Panthers · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eetu Luostarinen

-0.8

category z-score total

Peyton Krebs

-0.9

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Eetu Luostarinen has the edge (Luostarinen wins 3, Krebs wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryLuostarinenKrebs
Goals / game0.180.09
Assists / game0.190.37
Plus/minus / game-0.010.02
Power-play points / game0.050.01
Shots on goal / game1.460.96
Hits / game1.702.12

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Luostarinen vs Krebs

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LuostarinenKrebs
12Team record in 18 meetings6
6Points in those games9

Luostarinen 0G 6A, 21 SOG · Krebs 2G 7A, 17 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other7

Luostarinen's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 0–3 · Luostarinen's defensive zone 0–1 (2021-22 to 2026-27)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Luostarinen's side)

31:16 at 5-on-5 over 5 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Luostarinen's side

Shot attempts
37–36
50.7%
Expected goals
1.0–1.6
38.7%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Eetu Luostarinen and Peyton Krebs
DateScoreLuostarinenKrebs
2026-10-12FLA 3–5 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S
2026-02-27FLA 2–3 BUF0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-02-02FLA 3–5 BUF0G 0A 2S1G 2A 1S
2026-01-12FLA 4–3 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-18FLA 0–3 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-12FLA 3–2 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-08FLA 4–0 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-28FLA 5–2 BUF0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-12FLA 2–5 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-04-13FLA 3–2 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-27FLA 3–2 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-15FLA 4–0 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Faceoffs: Luostarinen vs Krebs

Model: Eetu Luostarinen wins 51.1% of draws against Peyton Krebs on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Eetu Luostarinen's predicted win % against Peyton Krebs at each dot, in Luostarinen's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Luostarinen atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home59%42%61%43%51%61%43%62%44%
Road58%41%59%42%51%59%42%60%43%

Head-to-head 2025-26 to 2026-27: Luostarinen 0–2 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 50.9%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Luostarinen faceoffs · Krebs faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LuostarinenKrebs

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Florida Panthers logo

Eetu Luostarinen

3games

3.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.3 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.4 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Buffalo Sabres logo

Peyton Krebs

2games

2.0proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.9 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Eetu Luostarinen or Peyton Krebs in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eetu Luostarinen projects to 1.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Peyton Krebs's 1.06. Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; Krebs had 39 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eetu Luostarinen or Peyton Krebs?
On 2025-26 numbers, Eetu Luostarinen leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Luostarinen and Krebs done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Luostarinen's team went 12–6. Luostarinen had 6 points (0 goals) and Krebs had 9 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Luostarinen or Krebs?
Against each other, Luostarinen has won 0 and Krebs 7 of their 7 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →