Who to start · 2025-26
Jack Drury vs Lars Eller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Drury projects to 1.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.85.
Drury had 27 points in 82 games; Eller had 15 in 68 games.
This week Drury has 3 games left with 1 tough matchup; Eller has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Drury for 3.0 to Eller's 1.7 over the games left.
Jack Drury has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Drury's biggest edges: Corsi 58.4%, Fenwick 57.4%, Expected goals 59.5%.
Eller's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1024, Ascension score 80, 20+ mph bursts 75.
Head to head on the dot, Drury leads Eller 9–9.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Lars Eller rates ahead, -2.5 to -2.8 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Drury is rising, +4:26 TOI a game; Eller is surging, +4:13 TOI a game.
- • Drury, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • Eller, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 0 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
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Fantasy value: your scoring
Jack Drury
-2.8
category z-score total
Lars Eller
-2.5
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Lars Eller has the edge (Drury wins 2, Eller wins 4 of 6 categories).
| Category | Drury | Eller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| Assists / game | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.18 | 0.95 |
| Hits / game | 0.63 | 0.68 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Drury vs Eller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Drury 0G 3A, 6 SOG · Eller 0G 2A, 5 SOG
Drury's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 4–4 · Drury's defensive zone 5–2 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Drury's side)
8:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Drury's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–7
- 58.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.8
- 27.8%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Drury | Eller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | COL 2–5 OTT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-08 | COL 8–2 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-07 | CAR 5–1 PIT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-18 | CAR 4–1 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-03-26 | CAR 1–4 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-01-13 | CAR 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-21 | CAR 1–2 PIT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-11-18 | CAR 4–2 PIT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Faceoffs: Drury vs Eller
Model: Jack Drury wins 55.5% of draws against Lars Eller on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Drury at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 61% | 49% | 62% | 50% | 56% | 62% | 50% | 64% | 51% |
| Road | 60% | 47% | 61% | 48% | 55% | 61% | 48% | 62% | 50% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Drury 9–9 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 55.3%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.5); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Jack Drury
3games
3.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Thu, Oct 22 @ BOS0.9 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ PIT1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Lars Eller
3games (2 left)
1.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTTOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI0.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jack Drury or Lars Eller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Drury projects to 1.02 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.85. Drury had 27 points in 82 games; Eller had 15 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jack Drury or Lars Eller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Drury leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Drury and Eller done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Drury's team went 5–3. Drury had 3 points (0 goals) and Eller had 2 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Drury or Eller?
- Against each other, Drury has won 9 and Eller 9 of their 18 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →