Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Barron vs Yakov Trenin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Barron projects to 1.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yakov Trenin's 1.12.
Barron had 23 points in 65 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games.
This week Barron has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Trenin has 3 left with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Trenin for 3.5 to Barron's 2.2 over the games left.
Yakov Trenin has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Barron's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.5, Draw Equity /100 −0.031, Faceoff win % 46.2%.
Trenin's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.49, Sequence xG 51.2%, Expected goals 51.6%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Yakov Trenin rates ahead, +0.9 to -0.7 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Barron is cooling, ixG/60 0.61 (was 0.84); Trenin is steady, 22% of 5v5 TOI with top players (was 33%).
- • Barron, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
- • Trenin, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
Winnipeg Jets · Minnesota Wild · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Barron
-0.7
category z-score total
Yakov Trenin
+0.9
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Yakov Trenin has the edge (Barron wins 3, Trenin wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Barron | Trenin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| Assists / game | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.31 | 1.12 |
| Hits / game | 2.31 | 4.78 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Barron vs Trenin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Barron 0G 3A, 28 SOG · Trenin 1G 1A, 20 SOG
Barron's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–2 · Barron's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Barron's side)
5:13 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Barron's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–5
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 14.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Barron | Trenin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | WPG 5–2 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-15 | WPG 6–2 MIN | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-27 | WPG 3–4 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-23 | WPG 0–3 MIN | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-28 | WPG 4–3 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-25 | WPG 4–1 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-13 | WPG 2–1 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-13 | WPG 7–0 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-26 | WPG 2–3 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-09 | WPG 6–3 NSH | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-08 | WPG 2–0 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-18 | WPG 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Faceoffs: Barron vs Trenin
Model: Morgan Barron wins 52.9% of draws against Yakov Trenin on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Barron at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 59% | 46% | 60% | 47% | 53% | 60% | 47% | 61% | 48% |
| Road | 58% | 45% | 59% | 46% | 53% | 59% | 46% | 60% | 47% |
Head-to-head 2023-24: Barron 0–2 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 52.7%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.5); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Morgan Barron
3games (2 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ STLOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ DAL1.0 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to Cvs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sun, Oct 25 vs MTL1.2 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Yakov Trenin
4games (3 left)
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ EDMOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.898)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ CGY1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Barron or Yakov Trenin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Barron projects to 1.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yakov Trenin's 1.12. Barron had 23 points in 65 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Barron or Yakov Trenin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Yakov Trenin leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Barron and Trenin done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Barron's team went 11–4. Barron had 3 points (0 goals) and Trenin had 2 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Barron or Trenin?
- Against each other, Barron has won 0 and Trenin 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →