Draw Duel
Cole Sillinger faceoff stats, 2025-26
CBJ · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
46.6%
90%: 44.0%–49.3% vs an average regular, on 1,740 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
41.4%
48 won of 116 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
50.0% / 34.0%
48 strong-side, 53 weak-side draws this season
Next game
0.4 FOW
2026-10-09 vs PIT: 1 draws at 50.1%, range 0–1
Where Sillinger wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 25 | 13 | 52.0% |
| OZ right | 20 | 7 | 35.0% |
| NZ left (att.) | 4 | 3 | 75.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| Centre | 16 | 7 | 43.8% |
| NZ left (def.) | 4 | 3 | 75.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| DZ left | 16 | 6 | 37.5% |
| DZ right | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R38.0%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L38.7%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R39.1%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R39.5%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L39.7%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L39.9%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L59.5%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L59.1%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L58.1%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L56.4%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L56.0%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R56.0%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 100.0% 2 | 100.0% 2 | — 0 | — 0 | — 0 | 100.0% 1 | 100.0% 1 | 100.0% 1 | — 0 |
| 2025-26 | 41.4% 116 | 39.0% 105 | 100.0% 3 | 50.0% 8 | 44.4% 45 | 45.2% 31 | 35.0% 40 | 50.0% 48 | 34.0% 53 |
| 2024-25 | 46.2% 650 | 46.5% 535 | 46.7% 30 | 43.5% 85 | 46.2% 195 | 46.4% 183 | 46.0% 272 | 48.5% 274 | 42.7% 255 |
| 2023-24 | 46.3% 972 | 47.4% 834 | 44.3% 61 | 36.4% 77 | 46.9% 341 | 50.3% 306 | 41.8% 325 | 51.2% 418 | 37.0% 343 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 8–11 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 42.9% | normal luck (z -0.1) |
| Anthony Cirelli | 8–9 | 47.1% | 43.6% | 43.7% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Dylan Cozens | 5–11 | 31.3% | 47.1% | 46.6% | a bit unusual (z -1.3) |
| Sebastian Aho | 5–10 | 33.3% | 43.5% | 43.2% | normal luck (z -0.8) |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 6–9 | 40.0% | 47.2% | 47.0% | normal luck (z -0.6) |
| Bo Horvat | 4–10 | 28.6% | 43.9% | 43.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 7–7 | 50.0% | 41.7% | 41.9% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Elias Lindholm | 5–8 | 38.5% | 41.8% | 41.8% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Dylan Strome | 6–6 | 50.0% | 41.5% | 41.7% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Macklin Celebrini | 4–7 | 36.4% | 49.9% | 49.6% | normal luck (z -0.9) |
| Nick Suzuki | 8–3 | 72.7% | 46.6% | 47.1% | a bit unusual (z 1.7) |
| Robert Thomas | 7–4 | 63.6% | 45.6% | 46.0% | a bit unusual (z 1.2) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | vs BUF | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-14 | vs WSH | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-09 | @ BUF | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-04 | vs WPG | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CAR | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SJS | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | vs SEA | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-19 | vs NYR | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | @ PHI | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-10 | @ TBL | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-09 vs PIT likely opponents: Sidney Crosby (43%), Ben Kindel (54%)0.4 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-10 vs STL likely opponents: Robert Thomas (44%), Mason McTavish (50%)0.4 FOW 0–1
FAQ
What is Cole Sillinger's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Cole Sillinger's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Cole Sillinger win tonight?
When Cole Sillinger has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Cole Sillinger better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.