Draw Duel
Denver Barkey faceoff stats, 2025-26
PHI · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
—
Only 49 draws in the last four seasons: too few for a rating.
2025-26 FO%
38.9%
7 won of 18 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
42.9% / 0.0%
14 strong-side, 2 weak-side draws this season
Next game
No projection scheduled.
Where Barkey wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| OZ right | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ left (att.) | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Centre | 2 | 1 | 50.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| NZ right (def.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| DZ left | 6 | 1 | 16.7% |
| DZ right | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R29.8%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L30.5%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R30.8%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R31.2%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L31.4%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L31.6%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L50.6%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L50.2%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L49.1%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L47.4%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L47.1%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R46.9%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 38.9% 18 | 40.0% 15 | 33.3% 3 | — 0 | 50.0% 6 | 60.0% 5 | 14.3% 7 | 42.9% 14 | 0.0% 2 |
| Playoffs (all) | 35.5% 31 | 32.1% 28 | 66.7% 3 | — 0 | 46.2% 13 | 28.6% 14 | 25.0% 4 | 33.3% 15 | 42.9% 7 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Jankowski | 4–6 | 40.0% | 37.7% | 37.7% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Sebastian Aho | 3–4 | 42.9% | 37.2% | 37.3% | normal luck (z 0.3) |
| Jordan Staal | 1–6 | 14.3% | 33.4% | 33.1% | a bit unusual (z -1.1) |
| Logan Stankoven | 1–4 | 20.0% | 42.7% | 42.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Nick Suzuki | 1–3 | 25.0% | 37.8% | 37.7% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Alex Newhook | 2–1 | 66.7% | 43.6% | 43.7% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Marco Rossi | 0–2 | 0.0% | 47.9% | 47.7% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
| Oliver Moore | 0–1 | 0.0% | 52.0% | 51.8% | a bit unusual (z -1.0) |
| Juraj Slafkovský | 1–0 | 100.0% | 59.3% | 59.4% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Eric Robinson | 1–0 | 100.0% | 59.2% | 59.3% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Aatu Räty | 0–1 | 0.0% | 34.7% | 34.6% | normal luck (z -0.7) |
| William Carrier | 1–0 | 100.0% | 55.1% | 55.2% | normal luck (z 0.9) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | vs CAR | 5 | 13 | 38.5% |
| 2026-05-07 | vs CAR | 2 | 8 | 25.0% |
| 2026-05-04 | @ CAR | 3 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-05-02 | @ CAR | 1 | 4 | 25.0% |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MTL | 4 | 9 | 44.4% |
| 2026-01-29 | @ BOS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-26 | vs NYI | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-12 | vs TBL | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | @ VAN | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-23 | @ CHI | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
No upcoming games projected.
FAQ
What is Denver Barkey's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Denver Barkey's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Denver Barkey win tonight?
When Denver Barkey has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Denver Barkey better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.