Draw Duel
Travis Konecny faceoff stats, 2025-26
PHI · R · Right shot · full player page
Model rating
45.7%
90%: 41.3%–50.1% vs an average regular, on 256 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
37.7%
20 won of 53 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
40.0% / 35.7%
20 strong-side, 28 weak-side draws this season
Next game
0.3 FOW
2026-10-05 vs TBL: 1 draws at 47.8%, range 0–1
Where Konecny wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 18 | 6 | 33.3% |
| OZ right | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| NZ left (att.) | 4 | 3 | 75.0% |
| NZ right (att.) | 0 | 0 | — |
| Centre | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NZ left (def.) | 4 | 1 | 25.0% |
| NZ right (def.) | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| DZ left | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| DZ right | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R37.4%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L37.6%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R38.3%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L38.6%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R38.8%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L38.8%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L58.7%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L58.4%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L57.2%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L55.5%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L55.2%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R55.0%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 75.0% 4 | 50.0% 2 | 100.0% 2 | — 0 | 66.7% 3 | — 0 | 100.0% 1 | 100.0% 1 | 66.7% 3 |
| 2025-26 | 37.7% 53 | 39.5% 38 | 11.1% 9 | 66.7% 6 | 30.0% 30 | 43.8% 16 | 57.1% 7 | 40.0% 20 | 35.7% 28 |
| 2024-25 | 39.0% 100 | 38.5% 78 | 50.0% 18 | 0.0% 4 | 45.0% 60 | 21.4% 28 | 50.0% 12 | 33.9% 56 | 51.4% 35 |
| 2023-24 | 40.2% 97 | 41.0% 83 | 40.0% 5 | 33.3% 9 | 40.0% 65 | 45.0% 20 | 33.3% 12 | 42.1% 57 | 39.4% 33 |
| Playoffs (all) | 100.0% 2 | 100.0% 2 | — 0 | — 0 | 100.0% 2 | — 0 | — 0 | 100.0% 1 | 100.0% 1 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 1–6 | 14.3% | 39.3% | 39.0% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
| Noel Acciari | 3–3 | 50.0% | 38.3% | 38.4% | normal luck (z 0.6) |
| Jake Evans | 5–0 | 100.0% | 36.6% | 37.2% | unusual (z 2.9) |
| Jordan Staal | 2–3 | 40.0% | 39.3% | 39.3% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
| Robert Thomas | 1–3 | 25.0% | 37.9% | 37.8% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Dawson Mercer | 3–1 | 75.0% | 51.2% | 51.3% | normal luck (z 1.0) |
| Shane Pinto | 4–0 | 100.0% | 45.5% | 45.9% | unusual (z 2.2) |
| Ryan McLeod | 0–3 | 0.0% | 45.1% | 44.8% | a bit unusual (z -1.6) |
| Blake Lizotte | 1–2 | 33.3% | 46.4% | 46.3% | normal luck (z -0.5) |
| Chandler Stephenson | 1–2 | 33.3% | 43.8% | 43.7% | normal luck (z -0.4) |
| Sidney Crosby | 1–2 | 33.3% | 38.6% | 38.6% | normal luck (z -0.2) |
| Cole Sillinger | 0–2 | 0.0% | 48.4% | 48.2% | a bit unusual (z -1.4) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | vs CAR | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | vs PIT | 1 | 2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PIT | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-20 | @ PIT | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-11 | @ WPG | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-28 | @ DET | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-26 | vs CHI | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-24 | vs CBJ | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | @ SJS | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-05 vs TBL likely opponents: Anthony Cirelli (46%), Brayden Point (49%)0.3 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-08 vs OTT likely opponents: Claude Giroux (38%), Lars Eller (44%)0.2 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-10 vs BOS likely opponents: Pavel Zacha (44%), Elias Lindholm (43%)0.2 FOW 0–1
- 2026-10-11 vs CAR likely opponents: Jordan Staal (39%), Sebastian Aho (45%)0.2 FOW 0–1
FAQ
What is Travis Konecny's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Travis Konecny's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Travis Konecny win tonight?
When Travis Konecny has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Travis Konecny better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.