Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Lowry vs Morgan Barron
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Barron projects to 1.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Lowry's 1.12.
Lowry had 21 points in 70 games; Barron had 23 in 65 games.
This week Lowry has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Barron has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Lowry for 2.2 to Barron's 2.2 over the games left.
Adam Lowry has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Lowry's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 54.9%, Corsi 51.3%, Draw Equity /100 +0.043.
Barron's biggest edges: Luck Meter +33, Top skating speed 23.6, Goals above expected +0.5.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Morgan Barron rates ahead, -0.7 to -1.5 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Lowry is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.15 (was 2.04); Barron is cooling, ixG/60 0.61 (was 0.84).
- • Lowry, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • Barron, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Lowry
-1.5
category z-score total
Morgan Barron
-0.7
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Morgan Barron has the edge (Lowry wins 1, Barron wins 4 of 6 categories).
| Category | Lowry | Barron |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| Assists / game | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Hits / game | 2.09 | 2.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Lowry vs Barron
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Lowry blocked 0 of Barron's shots; Barron blocked 1 of Lowry's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
191:57 at 5-on-5 over 32 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 161–181
- 47.1%
- Expected goals
- 6.4–8.3
- 43.6%
- Goals
- 9–4
Faceoffs: Lowry vs Barron
Model: Adam Lowry wins 55.2% of draws against Morgan Barron on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Lowry at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 64% | 46% | 65% | 47% | 56% | 65% | 47% | 66% | 48% |
| Road | 62% | 44% | 63% | 46% | 55% | 63% | 46% | 65% | 47% |
They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
Chemistry as teammates
How their expected-goal share at 5v5 changed together vs apart (shrunk for sample size), and how closely their DraftKings points moved game to game (raw, that season only; for forward linemates the typical value is about .28).
| Season | 5v5 min together | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK correlation (raw) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 WPG | 161 | −1.7 | −0.01 | .09(−.43 to .56), 12 GP |
| 2024-25 WPG | 65 | +2.4 | −0.00 | – (too few games together) |
| 2023-24 WPG | 97 | +1.4 | +0.16 | – (too few games together) |
| 2022-23 WPG | 449 | −0.5 | +0.04 | .42(.19 to .60), 45 GP |
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Adam Lowry
3games (2 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ STLOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ DAL1.0 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to Cvs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sun, Oct 25 vs MTL1.2 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Morgan Barron
3games (2 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ STLOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ DAL1.0 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to Cvs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sun, Oct 25 vs MTL1.2 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Lowry or Morgan Barron in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Barron projects to 1.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Lowry's 1.12. Lowry had 21 points in 70 games; Barron had 23 in 65 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Lowry or Morgan Barron?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Lowry leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →