Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Artem Zub vs Nathan MacKinnon

Steady−3:00 TOI a game
CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Artem Zub's 1.55.

Zub had 30 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Zub has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; MacKinnon has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project MacKinnon for 5.9 to Zub's 4.3 over the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Zub's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.030, Blocked shots 120, Penalty minutes 57.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Top skating speed 24.8, 20+ mph bursts 455.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nathan MacKinnon rates ahead, +14.0 to +0.8 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Zub is steady, −3:00 TOI a game; MacKinnon is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 2.51 (was 3.88).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 6 G, 10 A, 2 PPP, 44 SOG.

Ottawa Senators · Colorado Avalanche · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Artem Zub

+0.8

category z-score total

Nathan MacKinnon

+14.0

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nathan MacKinnon has the edge (Zub wins 1, MacKinnon wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryZubMacKinnon
Goals / game0.050.64
Assists / game0.330.96
Plus/minus / game0.360.43
Power-play points / game0.000.30
Shots on goal / game1.124.38
Hits / game0.840.68

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Zub vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZubMacKinnon
2Team record in 8 meetings6
3Points in those games20

Zub 0G 3A, 4 SOG · MacKinnon 6G 14A, 33 SOG

3Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other2

Zub blocked 2 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Zub's.

On the ice against each other (Zub's side)

24:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Zub's side

Shot attempts
20–20
50.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
48.4%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Artem Zub and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreZubMacKinnon
2026-01-28OTT 5–2 COL0G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-08OTT 2–8 COL0G 0A 0S1G 3A 5S
2025-03-20OTT 1–5 COL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-16OTT 4–7 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-12-21OTT 4–6 COL0G 1A 1S4G 1A 9S
2023-03-16OTT 4–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 3A 6S
2023-01-14OTT 0–7 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 5S
2021-12-04OTT 6–5 COL0G 0A 0S0G 3A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZubMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Artem Zub

3games

4.3proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)

Nathan MacKinnon

4games (2 left)

5.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 @ PHI
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL2.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH3.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Artem Zub or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Artem Zub's 1.55. Zub had 30 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Artem Zub or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zub and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Zub's team went 2–6. Zub had 3 points (0 goals) and MacKinnon had 20 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →