Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Cozens vs Josh Norris

FallingOn-ice xGF/60 1.38 (was 3.25)
FallingPP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 14 of 20)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Cozens projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Norris's 1.50.

Cozens had 59 points in 82 games; Norris had 34 in 44 games.

This week Cozens has 3 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Norris has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Cozens for 4.8 to Norris's 2.8 over the games left.

Dylan Cozens has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Cozens's biggest edges: Hits 215, Shots on goal 205, Goals above expected +2.0.

Norris's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1054, Plus/minus +11, Luck Meter +30.

Head to head on the dot, Norris leads Cozens 18–14.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Dylan Cozens rates ahead, +3.8 to +0.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Cozens is falling, On-ice xGF/60 1.38 (was 3.25); Norris is falling, PP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 14 of 20).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 18 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.

Ottawa Senators · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Cozens

+3.8

category z-score total

Josh Norris

+0.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Dylan Cozens has the edge (Cozens wins 3, Norris wins 3 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryCozensNorris
Goals / game0.210.27
Assists / game0.320.34
Plus/minus / game-0.10-0.01
Power-play points / game0.300.13
Shots on goal / game2.311.48
Hits / game2.600.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Cozens vs Norris

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CozensNorris
6Team record in 9 meetings3
7Points in those games1

Cozens 3G 4A, 29 SOG · Norris 1G 0A, 15 SOG

14Faceoffs against each other18

Cozens's offensive zone 8–7 · neutral 2–6 · Cozens's defensive zone 4–5 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Cozens blocked 1 of Norris's shots; Norris blocked 1 of Cozens's.

On the ice against each other (Cozens's side)

15:52 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Cozens's side

Shot attempts
15–11
57.7%
Expected goals
0.7–0.3
69.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Cozens and Josh Norris
DateScoreCozensNorris
2026-04-02OTT 4–1 BUF1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-23OTT 2–3 BUF0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-09BUF 4–0 OTT1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-05BUF 5–1 OTT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-12-31BUF 1–5 OTT0G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-24BUF 6–4 OTT0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2022-10-13BUF 4–1 OTT0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-25BUF 0–5 OTT0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-01-18BUF 3–1 OTT1G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S

Faceoffs: Cozens vs Norris

Model: Dylan Cozens wins 49.5% of draws against Josh Norris on average (R shot vs L shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.

Dylan Cozens's predicted win % against Josh Norris at each dot, in Cozens's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Cozens atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home50%48%51%50%50%51%50%52%51%
Road48%47%49%48%49%49%48%51%49%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Cozens 8–15 (34.8%). Blended with the model: 48.8%. The record is a bit unusual for this matchup (z -1.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Cozens faceoffs · Norris faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CozensNorris

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Dylan Cozens

3games

4.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.4 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)

Josh Norris

2games

2.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.2 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Cozens or Josh Norris in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Cozens projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Norris's 1.50. Cozens had 59 points in 82 games; Norris had 34 in 44 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Cozens or Josh Norris?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Cozens leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Cozens and Norris done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Cozens's team went 6–3. Cozens had 7 points (3 goals) and Norris had 1 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Cozens or Norris?
Against each other, Cozens has won 14 and Norris 18 of their 32 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →