Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Frederick Gaudreau vs Nikita Kucherov

Steady4 P in last 5 (0.40/GP before)
Steady63% of team PP time (was 72%)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 2.87 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Frederick Gaudreau's 1.39.

Gaudreau had 24 points in 68 games; Kucherov had 130 in 76 games.

This week Gaudreau has 2 games left; Kucherov has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kucherov for 5.7 to Gaudreau's 2.4 over the games left.

Nikita Kucherov has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Gaudreau's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 296, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.023, Blocked shots 52.

Kucherov's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.7%, Corsi 56.2%, Fenwick 55.9%.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Nikita Kucherov rates ahead, +13.3 to -1.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Gaudreau is steady, 4 P in last 5 (0.40/GP before); Kucherov is steady, 63% of team PP time (was 72%).

  • • Gaudreau, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 5 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.
  • • Kucherov, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 4 G, 9 A, 4 PPP, 26 SOG.

Seattle Kraken · Tampa Bay Lightning · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Frederick Gaudreau

-1.3

category z-score total

Nikita Kucherov

+13.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Nikita Kucherov has the edge (Gaudreau wins 1, Kucherov wins 5 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryGaudreauKucherov
Goals / game0.260.53
Assists / game0.231.08
Plus/minus / game0.110.52
Power-play points / game0.030.47
Shots on goal / game1.102.98
Hits / game0.470.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Gaudreau vs Kucherov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GaudreauKucherov
6Team record in 11 meetings5
3Points in those games16

Gaudreau 0G 3A, 8 SOG · Kucherov 6G 10A, 46 SOG

0Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Gaudreau blocked 2 of Kucherov's shots; Kucherov blocked 0 of Gaudreau's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Gaudreau's side)

9:28 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Gaudreau's side

Shot attempts
9–18
33.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
27.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Frederick Gaudreau and Nikita Kucherov
DateScoreGaudreauKucherov
2026-10-15SEA 3–4 TBL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 8S
2026-03-26SEA 4–3 TBL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-17SEA 2–6 TBL0G 0A 1S3G 2A 7S
2024-11-01MIN 5–3 TBL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 8S
2024-10-24MIN 4–2 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 1S
2024-01-18MIN 3–7 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 3A 5S
2024-01-04MIN 1–4 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-01-24MIN 2–4 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 5S
2023-01-04MIN 5–1 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2018-11-19NSH 3–2 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2018-11-01NSH 4–1 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GaudreauKucherov

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

GaudreauKucherov

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Seattle Kraken logo

Frederick Gaudreau

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN default pts

Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Nikita Kucherov

3games (2 left)

5.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Fri, Oct 23 @ COL2.6 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ UTAB2B3.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Frederick Gaudreau or Nikita Kucherov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 2.87 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Frederick Gaudreau's 1.39. Gaudreau had 24 points in 68 games; Kucherov had 130 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Frederick Gaudreau or Nikita Kucherov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikita Kucherov leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Gaudreau and Kucherov done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Gaudreau's team went 6–5. Gaudreau had 3 points (0 goals) and Kucherov had 16 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →