Edgehalla

Who to start · 2026-27

Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Nikita Kucherov

SurgingOn-ice xGF/60 2.80 (was 1.98)
Steady63% of team PP time (was 72%)

In 2026-27, Nikita Kucherov scored 2.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jesperi Kotkaniemi's 1.12.

Kotkaniemi had 5 points in 10 games; Kucherov had 13 in 9 games.

This week Kotkaniemi has 1 game left; Kucherov has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kucherov for 5.7 to Kotkaniemi's 0.9 over the games left.

Jesperi Kotkaniemi has the better number in 2 of the 2 stats both are ranked on.

Kotkaniemi's biggest edges: Ascension score 70, Luck Meter +69.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Kotkaniemi is surging, On-ice xGF/60 2.80 (was 1.98); Kucherov is steady, 63% of team PP time (was 72%).

  • • Kotkaniemi, last 10 games (Oct 3–Oct 22): 2 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • Kucherov, last 9 games (Oct 1–Oct 20): 4 G, 9 A, 4 PPP, 26 SOG.

Carolina Hurricanes · Tampa Bay Lightning · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jesperi Kotkaniemi

0.0

category z-score total

Nikita Kucherov

0.0

category z-score total

Dead even under Standard (6 categories) (Kotkaniemi wins 0, Kucherov wins 0 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryKotkaniemiKucherov
Goals / game0.200.44
Assists / game0.301.00
Plus/minus / game0.400.44
Power-play points / game0.000.44
Shots on goal / game1.002.89
Hits / game1.200.11

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Kotkaniemi vs Kucherov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KotkaniemiKucherov
5Team record in 20 meetings15
9Points in those games31

Kotkaniemi 2G 7A, 32 SOG · Kucherov 12G 19A, 56 SOG

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other0

Kotkaniemi blocked 1 of Kucherov's shots; Kucherov blocked 0 of Kotkaniemi's.

On the ice against each other (Kotkaniemi's side)

3:35 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kotkaniemi's side

Shot attempts
2–3
40.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
59.8%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Nikita Kucherov
DateScoreKotkaniemiKucherov
2025-12-20CAR 4–6 TBL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-11CAR 4–1 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-07CAR 2–3 TBL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2024-10-11CAR 1–4 TBL0G 0A 0S3G 1A 6S
2023-11-24CAR 2–8 TBL0G 0A 1S2G 4A 3S
2023-10-24CAR 0–3 TBL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-03-28CAR 0–4 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2023-03-05CAR 6–0 TBL1G 4A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-11-03CAR 4–3 TBL0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S
2022-03-22CAR 3–2 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2021-07-02 · POMTL 3–6 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 6S
2021-06-30 · POMTL 1–3 TBL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KotkaniemiKucherov

Fantasy box score

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

KotkaniemiKucherov

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Carolina Hurricanes logo

Jesperi Kotkaniemi

3games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.917)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ EDM
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.887)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ STL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.921)
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Nikita Kucherov

3games (2 left)

5.7proj. ESPN default pts

  • Tue, Oct 20 @ VGK
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Carter Hart (.888)
  • Fri, Oct 23 @ COL2.6 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Scott Wedgewood (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ UTAB2B3.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.872)

FAQ

Should I start Jesperi Kotkaniemi or Nikita Kucherov in fantasy hockey?
In 2026-27, Nikita Kucherov scored 2.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jesperi Kotkaniemi's 1.12. Kotkaniemi had 5 points in 10 games; Kucherov had 13 in 9 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jesperi Kotkaniemi or Nikita Kucherov?
On 2026-27 numbers, Jesperi Kotkaniemi leads in 2 of 2 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kotkaniemi and Kucherov done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Kotkaniemi's team went 5–15. Kotkaniemi had 9 points (2 goals) and Kucherov had 31 (12 goals).

2026-27 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →