Who to start · 2025-26
Lars Eller vs Mark Kastelic
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Kastelic projects to 1.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.85.
Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Kastelic had 22 in 82 games.
This week Eller has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Kastelic has 2 left with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kastelic for 2.4 to Eller's 1.7 over the games left.
Mark Kastelic has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Eller's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.15, Forecheck xG /60 0.52, High-danger chances 51.0%.
Kastelic's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 140, Hits 215, Hardest shot 92.3.
Head to head on the dot, Kastelic leads Eller 16–9.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Mark Kastelic rates ahead, -0.2 to -2.5 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Eller is surging, +4:13 TOI a game; Kastelic is cooling, ixG/60 0.54 (was 0.98).
- • Eller, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 0 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • Kastelic, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 1 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.
Florida Panthers · Boston Bruins · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Lars Eller
-2.5
category z-score total
Mark Kastelic
-0.2
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Mark Kastelic has the edge (Eller wins 3, Kastelic wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Eller | Kastelic |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| Assists / game | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.95 | 1.09 |
| Hits / game | 0.68 | 2.49 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Eller vs Kastelic
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Eller 1G 1A, 10 SOG · Kastelic 1G 0A, 10 SOG
Eller's offensive zone 3–8 · neutral 3–4 · Eller's defensive zone 3–4 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Eller blocked 1 of Kastelic's shots; Kastelic blocked 0 of Eller's.
On the ice against each other (Eller's side)
13:00 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Eller's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–16
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 22.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Eller | Kastelic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | OTT 5–3 BOS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-06 | OTT 2–3 BOS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-27 | OTT 7–2 BOS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-31 | WSH 3–1 BOS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-03-12 | PIT 1–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-23 | PIT 4–5 OTT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-28 | PIT 2–5 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-12-29 | WSH 3–4 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-22 | WSH 3–2 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-10-20 | WSH 2–5 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-02-13 | WSH 1–4 OTT | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Faceoffs: Eller vs Kastelic
Model: Lars Eller wins 45.0% of draws against Mark Kastelic on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Eller at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42% | 47% | 43% | 48% | 45% | 43% | 48% | 44% | 49% |
| Road | 41% | 46% | 42% | 47% | 45% | 42% | 47% | 43% | 48% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Eller 6–9 (40.0%). Blended with the model: 44.8%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Lars Eller
3games (2 left)
1.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTTOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI0.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Mark Kastelic
3games (2 left)
2.4proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ DALOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs NSH1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs SJS1.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Lars Eller or Mark Kastelic in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Kastelic projects to 1.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.85. Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Kastelic had 22 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Lars Eller or Mark Kastelic?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Kastelic leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Eller and Kastelic done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Eller's team went 4–7. Eller had 2 points (1 goals) and Kastelic had 1 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Eller or Kastelic?
- Against each other, Eller has won 9 and Kastelic 16 of their 25 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →