Who to start · 2025-26
Mark Kastelic vs Yakov Trenin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Kastelic projects to 1.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yakov Trenin's 1.12.
Kastelic had 22 points in 82 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games.
This week Kastelic has 2 games left with 2 soft matchups; Trenin has 3 left with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Trenin for 3.5 to Kastelic's 2.4 over the games left.
Mark Kastelic has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kastelic's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 60.8%, Draw Equity /100 +0.120, Ascension score 64.
Trenin's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.49, Expected goals 51.6%, Sequence xG 51.2%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Yakov Trenin rates ahead, +0.9 to -0.2 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Kastelic is cooling, ixG/60 0.54 (was 0.98); Trenin is steady, 22% of 5v5 TOI with top players (was 33%).
- • Kastelic, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 1 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • Trenin, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
Boston Bruins · Minnesota Wild · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mark Kastelic
-0.2
category z-score total
Yakov Trenin
+0.9
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Yakov Trenin has the edge (Kastelic wins 4, Trenin wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Kastelic | Trenin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| Assists / game | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| Hits / game | 2.49 | 4.78 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Kastelic vs Trenin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kastelic 0G 1A, 14 SOG · Trenin 1G 0A, 15 SOG
Kastelic's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–1 · Kastelic's defensive zone 0–0 (2024-25 to 2026-27)
On the ice against each other (Kastelic's side)
14:46 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Kastelic's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–16
- 46.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.3
- 64.4%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kastelic | Trenin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | BOS 1–4 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-03-28 | BOS 6–3 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-14 | BOS 2–6 MIN | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-02 | BOS 0–1 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-04 | BOS 3–0 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-27 | OTT 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-09 | OTT 0–3 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-10 | OTT 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-07 | OTT 2–3 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Faceoffs: Kastelic vs Trenin
Model: Mark Kastelic wins 61.5% of draws against Yakov Trenin on average (R shot vs L shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Kastelic at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 59% | 63% | 60% | 64% | 62% | 60% | 64% | 61% | 65% |
| Road | 57% | 62% | 59% | 63% | 61% | 59% | 63% | 60% | 64% |
Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2026-27: Kastelic 1–1 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 61.4%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.3); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Mark Kastelic
3games (2 left)
2.4proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ DALOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs NSH1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs SJS1.2 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
Yakov Trenin
4games (3 left)
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ EDMOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.898)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ CGY1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mark Kastelic or Yakov Trenin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Kastelic projects to 1.29 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Yakov Trenin's 1.12. Kastelic had 22 points in 82 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mark Kastelic or Yakov Trenin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Kastelic leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kastelic and Trenin done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Kastelic's team went 3–6. Kastelic had 1 points (0 goals) and Trenin had 1 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kastelic or Trenin?
- Against each other, Kastelic has won 1 and Trenin 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →