Who to start · 2025-26
Peyton Krebs vs Ridly Greig
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ridly Greig projects to 1.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Peyton Krebs's 1.06.
Krebs had 39 points in 82 games; Greig had 35 in 77 games.
This week Krebs has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Greig has 3 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Greig for 3.5 to Krebs's 2.0 over the games left.
Ridly Greig has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Krebs's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.1, Luck Meter +42, On-ice PDO 1019.
Greig's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.033, Faceoff win % 51.2%, Fenwick 53.3%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Ridly Greig rates ahead, -0.2 to -0.9 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Krebs is falling, On-ice xGF/60 1.55 (was 3.15); Greig is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.99).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
Buffalo Sabres · Ottawa Senators · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Peyton Krebs
-0.9
category z-score total
Ridly Greig
-0.2
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Ridly Greig has the edge (Krebs wins 2, Greig wins 4 of 6 categories).
| Category | Krebs | Greig |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| Assists / game | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.02 | 0.20 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.96 | 1.60 |
| Hits / game | 2.12 | 1.12 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Krebs vs Greig
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Krebs 2G 4A, 13 SOG · Greig 3G 6A, 13 SOG
Krebs's offensive zone 3–2 · neutral 2–0 · Krebs's defensive zone 0–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Krebs's side)
13:21 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Krebs's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–17
- 39.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.5
- 28.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Krebs | Greig |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | BUF 1–4 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-23 | BUF 3–2 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-15 | BUF 8–4 OTT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-01 | BUF 5–2 OTT | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-25 | BUF 3–2 OTT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-09 | BUF 4–0 OTT | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-05 | BUF 5–1 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-27 | BUF 2–6 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-11 | BUF 5–3 OTT | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-31 | BUF 1–5 OTT | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-10-24 | BUF 6–4 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
Faceoffs: Krebs vs Greig
Model: Peyton Krebs wins 48.2% of draws against Ridly Greig on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Krebs at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 56% | 40% | 57% | 41% | 48% | 57% | 41% | 58% | 42% |
| Road | 55% | 38% | 56% | 39% | 48% | 56% | 39% | 57% | 41% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Krebs 5–3 (62.5%). Blended with the model: 48.5%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.8); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Peyton Krebs
2games
2.0proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.1 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH0.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
Ridly Greig
3games
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to Cvs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.0 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Peyton Krebs or Ridly Greig in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ridly Greig projects to 1.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Peyton Krebs's 1.06. Krebs had 39 points in 82 games; Greig had 35 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Peyton Krebs or Ridly Greig?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ridly Greig leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Krebs and Greig done against each other?
- In 11 games against each other in our data, Krebs's team went 8–3. Krebs had 6 points (2 goals) and Greig had 9 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Krebs or Greig?
- Against each other, Krebs has won 5 and Greig 3 of their 8 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →