Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ridly Greig vs Sean Couturier

CoolingOn-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.99)
SteadyOn-ice xGF/60 1.21 (was 2.38)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ridly Greig projects to 1.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sean Couturier's 0.98.

Greig had 35 points in 77 games; Couturier had 36 in 78 games.

This week Greig has 3 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Couturier has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Greig for 3.5 to Couturier's 1.9 over the games left.

Ridly Greig has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Greig's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.9, Plus/minus +12, Penalty minutes 83.

Couturier's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Goals above expected −0.3, Ascension score 48.

Head to head on the dot, Couturier leads Greig 6–4.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Ridly Greig rates ahead, -0.2 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Greig is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.99); Couturier is steady, On-ice xGF/60 1.21 (was 2.38).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 7 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 0 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.

Ottawa Senators · Philadelphia Flyers · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ridly Greig

-0.2

category z-score total

Sean Couturier

-2.1

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Ridly Greig has the edge (Greig wins 4, Couturier wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryGreigCouturier
Goals / game0.160.09
Assists / game0.240.29
Plus/minus / game0.20-0.11
Power-play points / game0.030.01
Shots on goal / game1.601.38
Hits / game1.121.51

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Greig vs Couturier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GreigCouturier
7Team record in 9 meetings2
2Points in those games2

Greig 0G 2A, 8 SOG · Couturier 0G 2A, 13 SOG

4Faceoffs against each other6

Greig's offensive zone 1–5 · neutral 3–1 · Greig's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24 to 2026-27)

On the ice against each other (Greig's side)

13:27 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Greig's side

Shot attempts
12–9
57.1%
Expected goals
0.5–0.2
71.3%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Ridly Greig and Sean Couturier
DateScoreGreigCouturier
2026-10-17OTT 1–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2026-10-08OTT 2–1 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2026-02-05OTT 2–1 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-08OTT 3–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-23OTT 2–1 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-11OTT 5–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-02OTT 2–4 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-21OTT 5–3 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-14OTT 5–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S

Faceoffs: Greig vs Couturier

Model: Ridly Greig wins 42.3% of draws against Sean Couturier on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Ridly Greig's predicted win % against Sean Couturier at each dot, in Greig's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Greig atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home50%34%51%35%42%51%35%52%36%
Road48%33%49%34%42%49%34%51%35%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2026-27: Greig 4–6 (40.0%). Blended with the model: 42.3%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.1); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Greig faceoffs · Couturier faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GreigCouturier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Ottawa Senators logo

Ridly Greig

3games

3.5proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs FLA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to Cvs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs SJSB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge −11.8 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Sat, Oct 24 vs NYR1.0 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
Philadelphia Flyers logo

Sean Couturier

3games (2 left)

1.9proj. ESPN default pts

FAQ

Should I start Ridly Greig or Sean Couturier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ridly Greig projects to 1.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sean Couturier's 0.98. Greig had 35 points in 77 games; Couturier had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ridly Greig or Sean Couturier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ridly Greig leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Greig and Couturier done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Greig's team went 7–2. Greig had 2 points (0 goals) and Couturier had 2 (0 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Greig or Couturier?
Against each other, Greig has won 4 and Couturier 6 of their 10 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →