Draw Duel
Pius Suter faceoff stats, 2025-26
STL · C · Left shot · full player page
Model rating
45.6%
90%: 43.4%–47.9% vs an average regular, on 1,838 draws since 2023-24
2025-26 FO%
48.4%
267 won of 552 (regular season)
Strong / weak side
48.3% / 45.1%
319 strong-side, 113 weak-side draws this season
Next game
5.0 FOW
2026-10-06 vs CHI: 9 draws at 55.6%, range 2–8
Where Suter wins draws
Win % at every dot, 2025-26 regular season, in his own attacking direction.
Show as a table
| Dot | Draws | Won | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|
| OZ left | 112 | 51 | 45.5% |
| OZ right | 23 | 14 | 60.9% |
| NZ left (att.) | 27 | 15 | 55.6% |
| NZ right (att.) | 13 | 7 | 53.8% |
| Centre | 120 | 62 | 51.7% |
| NZ left (def.) | 24 | 15 | 62.5% |
| NZ right (def.) | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| DZ left | 156 | 73 | 46.8% |
| DZ right | 68 | 24 | 35.3% |
Toughest and easiest opponents
Model win % against today's regular centres, averaged over home and road and every dot. This is a prediction, not his record.
Toughest
- Claude Giroux OTT · R37.1%
- Aatu Räty VAN · L37.7%
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau NYI · R38.1%
- Vincent Trocheck UTA · R38.6%
- J.T. Miller NYR · L38.7%
- Auston Matthews TOR · L38.9%
Easiest
- Jack Hughes NJD · L58.5%
- Noah Ostlund BUF · L58.2%
- Trevor Zegras PHI · L57.1%
- Danila Yurov MIN · L55.4%
- Pavel Buchnevich STL · L55.1%
- Calum Ritchie NYI · R55.0%
Splits by season
| Season | All | EV | PP | PK | OZ | NZ | DZ | Strong | Weak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 30.0% 20 | 21.4% 14 | — 0 | 50.0% 6 | 50.0% 2 | 25.0% 8 | 30.0% 10 | 44.4% 9 | 0.0% 5 |
| 2025-26 | 48.4% 552 | 50.3% 439 | 47.4% 19 | 39.4% 94 | 48.1% 135 | 54.4% 193 | 43.3% 224 | 48.3% 319 | 45.1% 113 |
| 2024-25 | 42.6% 874 | 42.4% 740 | 48.0% 75 | 37.3% 59 | 45.7% 267 | 39.4% 289 | 42.8% 318 | 49.1% 346 | 38.5% 330 |
| 2023-24 | 49.3% 377 | 47.2% 299 | 58.9% 56 | 54.5% 22 | 52.6% 133 | 48.0% 127 | 47.0% 117 | 55.0% 171 | 45.0% 131 |
| Playoffs (all) | 40.0% 15 | 36.4% 11 | 66.7% 3 | 0.0% 1 | 60.0% 5 | 42.9% 7 | 0.0% 3 | 44.4% 9 | 0.0% 4 |
Small numbers are draws taken. Strong = his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots, in his own attacking direction); centre-ice draws count in neither.
Head-to-head, last three seasons
Raw records against his most frequent opponents next to what the model expected at the dots they actually met at. The blended number moves the model toward the record by n / (n + 500), because pair-specific edges are tiny (about ±2 points) and most of a lopsided record is luck.
| Opponent | Record | Raw | Model | Blended | Unusual? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 20–16 | 55.6% | 47.3% | 47.9% | normal luck (z 1.0) |
| Nico Hischier | 21–15 | 58.3% | 42.4% | 43.5% | a bit unusual (z 1.9) |
| Vincent Trocheck | 15–14 | 51.7% | 38.1% | 38.9% | a bit unusual (z 1.5) |
| Mark Scheifele | 8–17 | 32.0% | 48.8% | 48.0% | a bit unusual (z -1.7) |
| Morgan Frost | 9–13 | 40.9% | 43.6% | 43.5% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Matty Beniers | 7–13 | 35.0% | 47.9% | 47.4% | a bit unusual (z -1.2) |
| Leo Carlsson | 8–12 | 40.0% | 54.1% | 53.5% | a bit unusual (z -1.3) |
| Wyatt Johnston | 9–11 | 45.0% | 48.1% | 47.9% | normal luck (z -0.3) |
| Nazem Kadri | 10–10 | 50.0% | 47.4% | 47.5% | normal luck (z 0.2) |
| Shane Wright | 12–7 | 63.2% | 53.6% | 54.0% | normal luck (z 0.8) |
| Leon Draisaitl | 11–8 | 57.9% | 39.7% | 40.4% | a bit unusual (z 1.6) |
| Dylan Larkin | 8–10 | 44.4% | 44.4% | 44.4% | normal luck (z 0.0) |
Last 10 games
| Date | Opp | FOW | Draws | FO% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | @ COL | 4 | 11 | 36.4% |
| 2026-10-02 | @ DAL | 2 | 9 | 22.2% |
| 2026-04-16 | @ UTA | 6 | 10 | 60.0% |
| 2026-04-14 | vs PIT | 4 | 12 | 33.3% |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIN | 5 | 8 | 62.5% |
| 2026-04-11 | @ CHI | 6 | 11 | 54.5% |
| 2026-04-07 | vs COL | 4 | 6 | 66.7% |
| 2026-04-05 | @ COL | 8 | 14 | 57.1% |
| 2026-04-03 | @ ANA | 6 | 12 | 50.0% |
| 2026-04-01 | @ LAK | 1 | 5 | 20.0% |
Projected faceoffs won
- 2026-10-06 vs CHI likely opponents: Frank Nazar (49%), Anton Frondell (64%)5.0 FOW 2–8
- 2026-10-08 vs SJS likely opponents: Alexander Wennberg (53%), Macklin Celebrini (51%)4.6 FOW 2–8
- 2026-10-10 vs CBJ likely opponents: Charlie Coyle (45%), Adam Fantilli (52%)4.3 FOW 1–7
FAQ
What is Pius Suter's faceoff percentage?
The season line above shows Pius Suter's raw faceoff wins and percentage this season. The model rating beside it is his expected win rate against an average regular centre at a neutral dot, adjusted for opponents, home ice and dot side, with a 90% interval.
How many faceoffs will Pius Suter win tonight?
When Pius Suter has a game scheduled, the projection above gives expected draws, expected win rate against tonight's likely opposing centres, and a 10th–90th percentile range of faceoffs won. Projections update nightly.
Is Pius Suter better on his strong side?
Almost every centre is. The strong/weak split above compares his win rate on his strong-side dots (a left shot's left dots) with his weak-side dots. League-wide, strong-side takers win about 52.6% and weak-side takers about 44.9%.