Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Lowry vs Yakov Trenin
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Yakov Trenin projects to 1.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Lowry's 1.12.
Lowry had 21 points in 70 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games.
This week Lowry has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Trenin has 3 left with 2 soft matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Trenin for 3.5 to Lowry's 2.2 over the games left.
Yakov Trenin has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Lowry's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 54.9%, Draw Equity /100 +0.043, Corsi 51.3%.
Trenin's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1039, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007, Plus/minus +13.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Yakov Trenin rates ahead, +0.9 to -1.5 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Lowry is cooling, On-ice xGF/60 1.15 (was 2.04); Trenin is steady, 22% of 5v5 TOI with top players (was 33%).
- • Lowry, 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • Trenin, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
Winnipeg Jets · Minnesota Wild · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Lowry
-1.5
category z-score total
Yakov Trenin
+0.9
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Yakov Trenin has the edge (Lowry wins 3, Trenin wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Lowry | Trenin |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| Assists / game | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.97 | 1.12 |
| Hits / game | 2.09 | 4.78 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Lowry vs Trenin
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Lowry 7G 3A, 27 SOG · Trenin 2G 2A, 30 SOG
Lowry's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 3–0 · Lowry's defensive zone 1–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Lowry's side)
4:58 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Lowry's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–2
- 71.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 44.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Lowry | Trenin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | WPG 5–2 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-15 | WPG 6–2 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-27 | WPG 3–4 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-23 | WPG 0–3 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-25 | WPG 4–1 MIN | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-13 | WPG 2–1 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | WPG 3–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | WPG 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | WPG 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | WPG 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-04-21 · PO | WPG 7–6 COL | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-13 | WPG 7–0 COL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Faceoffs: Lowry vs Trenin
Model: Adam Lowry wins 58.0% of draws against Yakov Trenin on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Lowry at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 64% | 51% | 66% | 52% | 58% | 66% | 52% | 67% | 53% |
| Road | 63% | 49% | 64% | 50% | 58% | 64% | 50% | 65% | 52% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Lowry 5–2 (71.4%). Blended with the model: 58.2%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.7); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Adam Lowry
3games (2 left)
2.2proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ STLOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ DAL1.0 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to Cvs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sun, Oct 25 vs MTL1.2 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
Yakov Trenin
4games (3 left)
3.5proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 @ EDMOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.898)
- Thu, Oct 22 @ CGY1.2 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Lowry or Yakov Trenin in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Yakov Trenin projects to 1.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Lowry's 1.12. Lowry had 21 points in 70 games; Trenin had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Lowry or Yakov Trenin?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Yakov Trenin leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Lowry and Trenin done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Lowry's team went 12–10. Lowry had 10 points (7 goals) and Trenin had 4 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Lowry or Trenin?
- Against each other, Lowry has won 5 and Trenin 2 of their 7 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →