Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Carter Verhaeghe vs Josh Norris

Rising6 P in last 5 (0.70/GP before)
FallingPP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 14 of 20)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Carter Verhaeghe projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Norris's 1.50.

Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Norris had 34 in 44 games.

This week Verhaeghe has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Norris has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. In ESPN default points scoring we project Verhaeghe for 5.2 to Norris's 2.8 over the games left.

Carter Verhaeghe has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Verhaeghe's biggest edges: Ascension score 65, Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Shots on goal 187.

Norris's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Draw Equity /100 +0.000, On-ice PDO 1054.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Carter Verhaeghe rates ahead, +3.7 to +0.3 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Verhaeghe is rising, 6 P in last 5 (0.70/GP before); Norris is falling, PP1 in 0 of last 5 (was 14 of 20).

  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 6 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 16 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.

Florida Panthers · Buffalo Sabres · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Carter Verhaeghe

+3.7

category z-score total

Josh Norris

+0.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Carter Verhaeghe has the edge (Verhaeghe wins 4, Norris wins 2 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategoryVerhaegheNorris
Goals / game0.450.27
Assists / game0.330.34
Plus/minus / game0.14-0.01
Power-play points / game0.180.13
Shots on goal / game2.181.48
Hits / game0.680.76

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Verhaeghe vs Norris

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VerhaegheNorris
7Team record in 11 meetings4
8Points in those games6

Verhaeghe 4G 4A, 27 SOG · Norris 2G 4A, 22 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other1

Verhaeghe's offensive zone 2–1 · neutral 0–0 · Verhaeghe's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

0Shots blocked by the other3

Verhaeghe blocked 0 of Norris's shots; Norris blocked 3 of Verhaeghe's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Verhaeghe's side)

16:32 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Verhaeghe's side

Shot attempts
13–18
41.9%
Expected goals
0.4–1.3
25.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Carter Verhaeghe and Josh Norris
DateScoreVerhaegheNorris
2026-10-12FLA 3–5 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-02-27FLA 2–3 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2026-01-12FLA 4–3 BUF0G 3A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-08FLA 4–0 BUF1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-10FLA 1–3 OTT0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2024-02-20FLA 3–2 OTT0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-27FLA 5–0 OTT1G 0A 7S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-28FLA 4–0 OTT2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-26FLA 4–3 OTT0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2022-03-03FLA 3–0 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-12-14FLA 2–8 OTT0G 0A 0S2G 1A 5S

Faceoffs: Verhaeghe vs Norris

Model: Carter Verhaeghe wins 41.7% of draws against Josh Norris on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Carter Verhaeghe's predicted win % against Josh Norris at each dot, in Verhaeghe's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Verhaeghe atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home48%34%49%36%42%49%36%50%37%
Road47%33%48%34%41%48%34%49%35%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Verhaeghe 2–1 (66.7%). Blended with the model: 41.9%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.9); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Verhaeghe faceoffs · Norris faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VerhaegheNorris

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Carter Verhaeghe

3games

5.2proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.6 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
  • Thu, Oct 22 @ PITB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −11.9 win%Likely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Josh Norris

2games

2.8proj. ESPN default pts

  • Wed, Oct 21 vs PHI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.2 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ WSH1.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Carter Verhaeghe or Josh Norris in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Carter Verhaeghe projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Norris's 1.50. Verhaeghe had 55 points in 77 games; Norris had 34 in 44 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Carter Verhaeghe or Josh Norris?
On 2025-26 numbers, Carter Verhaeghe leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Verhaeghe and Norris done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Verhaeghe's team went 7–4. Verhaeghe had 8 points (4 goals) and Norris had 6 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Verhaeghe or Norris?
Against each other, Verhaeghe has won 2 and Norris 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →