Who to start · 2025-26
Eetu Luostarinen vs Lars Eller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eetu Luostarinen projects to 1.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.86.
Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; Eller had 15 in 68 games.
This week Luostarinen has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Eller has 3 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Luostarinen for 3.8 to Eller's 2.6 over the games left.
Eetu Luostarinen has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Luostarinen's biggest edges: Corsi 52.9%, Ice-time share 27.3%, Ice time per game 16:34.
Eller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 54.0%, Draw Equity /100 +0.043, Ascension score 81.
Head to head on the dot, Eller leads Luostarinen 12–9.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Eetu Luostarinen rates ahead, -0.8 to -1.9 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Luostarinen is cooling, 0 P in last 5 (0.55/GP before); Eller is surging, +4:41 TOI a game.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 13 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eetu Luostarinen
-0.8
category z-score total
Lars Eller
-1.9
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Eetu Luostarinen has the edge (Luostarinen wins 4, Eller wins 2 of 6 categories).
| Category | Luostarinen | Eller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| Assists / game | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.01 | 0.21 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.46 | 0.95 |
| Hits / game | 1.70 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Luostarinen vs Eller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Luostarinen 3G 6A, 25 SOG · Eller 5G 5A, 39 SOG
Luostarinen's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 6–5 · Luostarinen's defensive zone 3–4 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Luostarinen blocked 0 of Eller's shots; Eller blocked 1 of Luostarinen's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Luostarinen's side)
3:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Luostarinen's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–2
- 77.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 84.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
On the ice together
6:10 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 9–3
- 75.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.1
- 46.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Luostarinen | Eller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | FLA 1–5 OTT | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-03-31 | FLA 6–3 OTT | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-10 | FLA 3–2 OTT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-11 | FLA 6–2 OTT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-22 | FLA 3–6 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-04 | FLA 3–6 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-25 | FLA 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-14 | FLA 5–2 PIT | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-26 | FLA 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-08 | FLA 3–1 PIT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-16 | FLA 6–3 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-11-15 | FLA 5–2 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Faceoffs: Luostarinen vs Eller
Model: Eetu Luostarinen wins 45.8% of draws against Lars Eller on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Luostarinen at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 52% | 38% | 54% | 39% | 46% | 54% | 39% | 55% | 41% |
| Road | 51% | 37% | 52% | 38% | 46% | 52% | 38% | 53% | 39% |
Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2025-26: Luostarinen 1–1 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 45.9%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.1); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Eetu Luostarinen
3games
3.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT1.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.4 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Lars Eller
3games
2.6proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT0.8 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI0.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eetu Luostarinen or Lars Eller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eetu Luostarinen projects to 1.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.86. Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; Eller had 15 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eetu Luostarinen or Lars Eller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Eetu Luostarinen leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Luostarinen and Eller done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Luostarinen's team went 14–6. Luostarinen had 9 points (3 goals) and Eller had 10 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Luostarinen or Eller?
- Against each other, Luostarinen has won 9 and Eller 12 of their 21 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →