Who to start · 2025-26
Lars Eller vs Noel Acciari
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noel Acciari projects to 1.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.86.
Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Acciari had 25 in 67 games.
This week Eller has 3 games left with 1 soft matchup; Acciari has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Eller for 2.6 to Acciari's 2.3 over the games left.
Noel Acciari has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Eller's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.52, Ascension score 81, 20+ mph bursts 75.
Acciari's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Luck Meter +53, Blocked shots 62.
Head to head on the dot, Eller leads Acciari 6–6.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Lars Eller rates ahead, -1.9 to -2.8 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Eller is surging, +4:41 TOI a game; Acciari is steady, On-ice xGF/60 1.60 (was 2.18).
- • 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 10 SOG.
- • Last 10 games (Oct 1–Oct 19): 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 9 SOG.
Florida Panthers · Philadelphia Flyers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Lars Eller
-1.9
category z-score total
Noel Acciari
-2.8
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Lars Eller has the edge (Eller wins 3, Acciari wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Eller | Acciari |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| Assists / game | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.21 | -0.11 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Hits / game | 0.67 | 1.71 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Eller vs Acciari
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Eller 3G 3A, 28 SOG · Acciari 1G 0A, 14 SOG
Eller's offensive zone 3–1 · neutral 1–3 · Eller's defensive zone 2–2 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Eller blocked 0 of Acciari's shots; Acciari blocked 1 of Eller's.
On the ice against each other (Eller's side)
3:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Eller's side
- Shot attempts
- 0–4
- 0.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Eller | Acciari |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | OTT 3–4 PIT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-02-02 | OTT 3–2 PIT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-22 | WSH 8–3 PIT | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-18 | WSH 4–1 PIT | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-15 | COL 2–1 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-17 | WSH 4–5 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-05-13 · PO | WSH 3–4 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-05-11 · PO | WSH 3–5 FLA | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-05-09 · PO | WSH 2–3 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-05-07 · PO | WSH 6–1 FLA | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-05-05 · PO | WSH 1–5 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-11-27 | WSH 4–3 FLA | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Faceoffs: Eller vs Acciari
Model: Lars Eller wins 48.9% of draws against Noel Acciari on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Eller at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 50% | 47% | 52% | 49% | 47% | 52% | 49% | 53% |
| Road | 45% | 49% | 46% | 50% | 49% | 46% | 50% | 47% | 52% |
Head-to-head 2024-25 to 2025-26: Eller 2–3 (40.0%). Blended with the model: 48.8%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.4); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
Chemistry as teammates
How their expected-goal share at 5v5 changed together vs apart (shrunk for sample size), and how closely their DraftKings points moved game to game (raw, that season only; for forward linemates the typical value is about .28).
| Season | 5v5 min together | xG% lift | xGF/60 lift | DK correlation (raw) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 PIT | 64 | −1.4 | −0.20 | – (too few games together) |
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Lars Eller
3games
2.6proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTT0.8 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to Cvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI0.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Noel Acciari
3games (2 left)
2.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs COLOpp allows 15th-most FP to CLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
- Wed, Oct 21 @ BUF1.1 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 vs ANA1.1 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Lars Eller or Noel Acciari in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noel Acciari projects to 1.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.86. Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Acciari had 25 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Lars Eller or Noel Acciari?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Noel Acciari leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Eller and Acciari done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Eller's team went 10–6. Eller had 6 points (3 goals) and Acciari had 1 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Eller or Acciari?
- Against each other, Eller has won 6 and Acciari 6 of their 12 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →