Who to start · 2025-26
Lars Eller vs Ross Colton
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ross Colton projects to 1.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.85.
Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Colton had 24 in 73 games.
This week Eller has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Colton has 3 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Colton for 3.8 to Eller's 1.7 over the games left.
Ross Colton has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Eller's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1024, Ascension score 80, Luck Meter −5.
Colton's biggest edges: Corsi 58.6%, Fenwick 59.0%, Hardest shot 94.1.
Head to head on the dot, Colton leads Eller 6–5.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Ross Colton rates ahead, -0.8 to -2.5 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Eller is surging, +4:13 TOI a game; Colton is steady, On-ice xGF/60 1.57 (was 2.27).
- • Eller, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 0 G, 5 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • Colton, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
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Fantasy value: your scoring
Lars Eller
-2.5
category z-score total
Ross Colton
-0.8
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Ross Colton has the edge (Eller wins 3, Colton wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Eller | Colton |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| Assists / game | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.12 | -0.05 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.95 | 1.71 |
| Hits / game | 0.68 | 2.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Eller vs Colton
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Eller 2G 1A, 17 SOG · Colton 1G 4A, 14 SOG
Eller's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 1–2 · Eller's defensive zone 3–2 (2021-22 to 2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Eller's side)
1:28 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Eller's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–0
- 100.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 100.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Eller | Colton |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | OTT 2–8 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 3A 4S |
| 2024-03-24 | PIT 4–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-10-26 | PIT 4–0 COL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-13 | WSH 3–6 TBL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-11 | WSH 5–1 TBL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-04-06 | WSH 4–3 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-01 | WSH 2–3 TBL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-10-16 | WSH 1–2 TBL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
Faceoffs: Eller vs Colton
Model: Lars Eller wins 52.6% of draws against Ross Colton on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Eller at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 47% | 58% | 49% | 53% | 58% | 49% | 59% | 50% |
| Road | 55% | 46% | 56% | 47% | 52% | 56% | 47% | 58% | 48% |
Head-to-head 2023-24: Eller 0–4 (0.0%). Blended with the model: 52.1%. The record is unusual for this matchup (z -2.1); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Lars Eller
3games (2 left)
1.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTTOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI0.9 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Ross Colton
3games
3.8proj. ESPN default pts
- Thu, Oct 22 @ BOS1.1 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Lars Eller or Ross Colton in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ross Colton projects to 1.08 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lars Eller's 0.85. Eller had 15 points in 68 games; Colton had 24 in 73 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Lars Eller or Ross Colton?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ross Colton leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Eller and Colton done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Eller's team went 3–5. Eller had 3 points (2 goals) and Colton had 5 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Eller or Colton?
- Against each other, Eller has won 5 and Colton 6 of their 11 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →