Who to start · 2025-26
Eetu Luostarinen vs Frederick Gaudreau
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Frederick Gaudreau projects to 1.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eetu Luostarinen's 1.28.
Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; Gaudreau had 24 in 68 games.
This week Luostarinen has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Gaudreau has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Luostarinen for 2.7 to Gaudreau's 2.4 over the games left.
Eetu Luostarinen has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Luostarinen's biggest edges: Scoring chances 54.3%, Corsi 52.9%, High-danger chances 53.8%.
Gaudreau's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1016, Faceoffs won 296, Transition attempts /60 0.86.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Eetu Luostarinen rates ahead, -1.1 to -1.3 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Luostarinen is falling, 0 P in last 5 (0.50/GP before); Gaudreau is steady, 4 P in last 5 (0.40/GP before).
- • Luostarinen, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 15 SOG.
- • Gaudreau, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 5 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.
Florida Panthers · Seattle Kraken · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eetu Luostarinen
-1.1
category z-score total
Frederick Gaudreau
-1.3
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Eetu Luostarinen has the edge (Luostarinen wins 3, Gaudreau wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Luostarinen | Gaudreau |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| Assists / game | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.05 | 0.11 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.48 | 1.10 |
| Hits / game | 1.67 | 0.47 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Luostarinen vs Gaudreau
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Luostarinen 5G 0A, 16 SOG · Gaudreau 1G 2A, 14 SOG
Luostarinen's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–1 · Luostarinen's defensive zone 1–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Luostarinen's side)
10:33 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Luostarinen's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–6
- 72.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.5
- 54.0%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Luostarinen | Gaudreau |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | FLA 8–3 SEA | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-24 | FLA 5–4 SEA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-03-15 | FLA 2–6 SEA | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-12-18 | FLA 6–1 MIN | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-22 | FLA 1–5 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-12 | FLA 0–2 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-13 | FLA 2–1 MIN | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-21 | FLA 5–3 MIN | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-18 | FLA 6–2 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-11-20 | FLA 5–4 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
Faceoffs: Luostarinen vs Gaudreau
Model: Eetu Luostarinen wins 50.4% of draws against Frederick Gaudreau on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Luostarinen at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 52% | 48% | 53% | 49% | 51% | 53% | 49% | 54% | 50% |
| Road | 50% | 47% | 52% | 48% | 50% | 52% | 48% | 53% | 49% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Luostarinen 2–2 (50.0%). Blended with the model: 50.4%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z -0.0); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Luostarinen faceoffs · Gaudreau faceoffs · how the model works
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Eetu Luostarinen
3games (2 left)
2.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTTOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.4 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Frederick Gaudreau
3games (2 left)
2.4proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs DETOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Daniil Tarasov (.895)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs MIN1.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eetu Luostarinen or Frederick Gaudreau in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Frederick Gaudreau projects to 1.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eetu Luostarinen's 1.28. Luostarinen had 33 points in 73 games; Gaudreau had 24 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eetu Luostarinen or Frederick Gaudreau?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Eetu Luostarinen leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Luostarinen and Gaudreau done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Luostarinen's team went 7–3. Luostarinen had 5 points (5 goals) and Gaudreau had 3 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Luostarinen or Gaudreau?
- Against each other, Luostarinen has won 2 and Gaudreau 3 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →