Who to start · 2025-26
Nikita Kucherov vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 3.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Kucherov had 130 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Kucherov has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Kucherov for 2.8 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.
Nikita Kucherov has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Kucherov's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.3%, Transition attempts /60 1.45, Hardest shot 92.1.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Blocked shots 66, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nikita Kucherov
3.01
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nikita Kucherov has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kucherov | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.20 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.05 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kucherov vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kucherov 6G 16A, 77 SOG · O'Reilly 6G 13A, 42 SOG
Kucherov blocked 2 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Kucherov's.
On the ice against each other (Kucherov's side)
2:18 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kucherov's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–1
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.0
- 50.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kucherov | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | TBL 5–2 NSH | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-29 | TBL 3–2 NSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-28 | TBL 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-07 | TBL 1–5 NSH | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-10 | TBL 5–3 NSH | 2G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-04-29 · PO | TBL 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-27 · PO | TBL 4–2 TOR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-24 · PO | TBL 4–5 TOR | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-04-22 · PO | TBL 3–4 TOR | 0G 1A 6S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2023-04-20 · PO | TBL 2–7 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-04-18 · PO | TBL 7–3 TOR | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-11 | TBL 3–4 TOR | 0G 1A 10S | 1G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nikita Kucherov
2games (1 left)
2.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH2.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nikita Kucherov or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikita Kucherov projects to 3.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Kucherov had 130 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nikita Kucherov or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikita Kucherov leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kucherov and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Kucherov's team went 9–11. Kucherov had 22 points (6 goals) and O'Reilly had 19 (6 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →