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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan O'Reilly vs Tage Thompson

Ryan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · CentrevsTage ThompsonTage ThompsonSabres · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games.

This week O'Reilly has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Thompson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 55.1%, Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Goals above expected +1.2.

Thompson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.9, Hits 85, 20+ mph bursts 176.

Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Thompson 20–11.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Tage Thompson

2.26

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromO'ReillyThompson
Goals (+2)0.580.93
Assists (+1)0.570.47
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.34
Hits (+0.1)0.030.10
Blocks (+0.5)0.380.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: O'Reilly vs Thompson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

O'ReillyThompson
5Team record in 11 meetings6
16Points in those games6

O'Reilly 6G 10A, 28 SOG · Thompson 3G 3A, 24 SOG

20Faceoffs against each other11

O'Reilly's offensive zone 4–4 · neutral 12–6 · O'Reilly's defensive zone 4–1 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (O'Reilly's side)

8:48 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from O'Reilly's side

Shot attempts
15–4
78.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
48.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ryan O'Reilly and Tage Thompson
DateScoreO'ReillyThompson
2026-03-07NSH 2–3 BUF0G 1A 2S1G 0A 4S
2026-01-20NSH 3–5 BUF2G 1A 4S1G 0A 1S
2025-02-08NSH 6–4 BUF0G 4A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-31NSH 3–4 BUF0G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2023-02-21TOR 6–3 BUF3G 1A 5S0G 1A 3S
2022-11-23STL 2–6 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-14STL 6–2 BUF0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-25STL 5–3 BUF0G 1A 2S1G 0A 8S
2019-03-17STL 3–4 BUF0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2018-12-27STL 4–1 BUF1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2018-02-03BUF 0–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

O'ReillyThompson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Tage Thompson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan O'Reilly or Tage Thompson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Thompson had 81 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan O'Reilly or Tage Thompson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have O'Reilly and Thompson done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, O'Reilly's team went 5–6. O'Reilly had 16 points (6 goals) and Thompson had 6 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, O'Reilly or Thompson?
Against each other, O'Reilly has won 20 and Thompson 11 of their 31 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →