Who to start · 2025-26
Alexander Kerfoot vs Frederick Gaudreau
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Frederick Gaudreau projects to 1.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.17.
Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; Gaudreau had 24 in 68 games.
This week Kerfoot has 3 games left with 1 tough matchup; Gaudreau has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kerfoot for 3.3 to Gaudreau's 2.4 over the games left.
Alexander Kerfoot has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kerfoot's biggest edges: Corsi 52.5%, Scoring chances 53.2%, Fenwick 51.6%.
Gaudreau's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22, Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Blocked shots 52.
Head to head on the dot, Kerfoot leads Gaudreau 14–10.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Frederick Gaudreau rates ahead, -1.3 to -3.0 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Kerfoot is rising, +2:19 TOI a game; Gaudreau is steady, 4 P in last 5 (0.40/GP before).
- • Kerfoot, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • Gaudreau, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 5 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.
Nashville Predators · Seattle Kraken · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexander Kerfoot
-3.0
category z-score total
Frederick Gaudreau
-1.3
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Frederick Gaudreau has the edge (Kerfoot wins 3, Gaudreau wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Kerfoot | Gaudreau |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Assists / game | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.13 | 0.11 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.84 | 1.10 |
| Hits / game | 0.79 | 0.47 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Kerfoot vs Gaudreau
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kerfoot 4G 2A, 14 SOG · Gaudreau 2G 2A, 25 SOG
Kerfoot's offensive zone 6–4 · neutral 6–5 · Kerfoot's defensive zone 2–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Kerfoot's side)
4:16 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kerfoot's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–2
- 71.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.0
- 99.6%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kerfoot | Gaudreau |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | UTA 6–2 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-27 | UTA 6–1 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-23 | UTA 4–0 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-20 | UTA 2–1 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-10 | UTA 4–5 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-12 | ARI 1–4 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-07 | ARI 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-14 | ARI 1–3 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-13 | ARI 6–0 MIN | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-24 | TOR 2–1 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-11-25 | TOR 4–3 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-24 | TOR 3–1 MIN | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Faceoffs: Kerfoot vs Gaudreau
Model: Alexander Kerfoot wins 51.2% of draws against Frederick Gaudreau on average (L shot vs R shot). Opposite-handed, so they are both strong or both weak at every dot and the dot barely matters.
| Kerfoot at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 52% | 50% | 53% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 51% | 54% | 52% |
| Road | 50% | 48% | 52% | 49% | 51% | 52% | 49% | 53% | 51% |
Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Kerfoot 9–5 (64.3%). Blended with the model: 51.5%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 1.0); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Alexander Kerfoot
3games
3.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Thu, Oct 22 @ BOS1.0 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Frederick Gaudreau
3games (2 left)
2.4proj. ESPN default pts
- Tue, Oct 20 vs DETOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Daniil Tarasov (.895)
- Thu, Oct 22 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
- Sat, Oct 24 vs MIN1.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexander Kerfoot or Frederick Gaudreau in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Frederick Gaudreau projects to 1.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.17. Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; Gaudreau had 24 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexander Kerfoot or Frederick Gaudreau?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alexander Kerfoot leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kerfoot and Gaudreau done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Kerfoot's team went 10–7. Kerfoot had 6 points (4 goals) and Gaudreau had 4 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kerfoot or Gaudreau?
- Against each other, Kerfoot has won 14 and Gaudreau 10 of their 24 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →