Who to start · 2025-26
Devon Toews vs Morgan Rielly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.35.
Toews had 24 points in 68 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.
This week Toews has 2 games left; Rielly has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Toews for 2.9 to Rielly's 2.7 over the games left.
Morgan Rielly has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Toews's biggest edges: Plus/minus +37, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.039, Expected goals 59.8%.
Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, Luck Meter +10, Goals 11.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Devon Toews rates ahead, +4.7 to +0.0 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Toews is steady, On-ice xGF/60 2.78 (was 3.68); Rielly is cooling, 18% of team PP time (was 30%).
- • 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 2 G, 5 A, 3 PPP, 14 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 0 G, 7 A, 1 PPP, 14 SOG.
- • Last 10 games (Sep 30–Oct 20): 0 G, 6 A, 1 PPP, 13 SOG.
Colorado Avalanche · Toronto Maple Leafs · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Devon Toews
+4.7
category z-score total
Morgan Rielly
+0.0
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Devon Toews has the edge (Toews wins 3, Rielly wins 3 of 6 categories).
| Category | Toews | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Assists / game | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| Plus/minus / game | 0.61 | -0.29 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| Shots on goal / game | 1.57 | 1.58 |
| Hits / game | 0.43 | 0.45 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Toews vs Rielly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Toews 2G 2A, 20 SOG · Rielly 2G 4A, 25 SOG
On the ice against each other (Toews's side)
4:24 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27, from Toews's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–5
- 44.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.2
- 30.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Toews | Rielly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | COL 3–6 TOR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-19 | COL 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-08 | COL 7–4 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-02-24 | COL 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-01-13 | COL 5–3 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-15 | COL 2–1 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-31 | COL 2–6 TOR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-08 | COL 5–4 TOR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2021-12-01 | COL 3–8 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2020-01-04 | NYI 0–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-11-13 | NYI 5–4 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-04-01 | NYI 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Devon Toews
4games (2 left)
2.9proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 @ PHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ NJDB2B
- Fri, Oct 23 vs TBL1.4 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ NSH1.5 pts
Morgan Rielly
4games (2 left)
2.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Mon, Oct 19 vs SJSOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Tue, Oct 20 @ CBJB2B
- Thu, Oct 22 vs NYR1.4 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sat, Oct 24 @ EDM1.3 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Devon Toews or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Devon Toews's 1.35. Toews had 24 points in 68 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Devon Toews or Morgan Rielly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Toews and Rielly done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Toews's team went 7–7. Toews had 4 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 6 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →