Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Colton Sissons vs Frederick Gaudreau

Colton SissonsMaple Leafs · Centre
vs
Frederick GaudreauKraken · Centre
Steady4 P in last 5 (0.15/GP before)
Steady4 P in last 5 (0.40/GP before)

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Frederick Gaudreau projects to 1.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Sissons's 1.04.

Sissons had 11 points in 66 games; Gaudreau had 24 in 68 games.

This week Sissons has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Gaudreau has 2 left. In ESPN default points scoring we project Gaudreau for 2.4 to Sissons's 1.9 over the games left.

Colton Sissons has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Sissons's biggest edges: High-danger chances 55.3%, Faceoff win % 56.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.074.

Gaudreau's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1016, Luck Meter +15, Forecheck xG /60 0.31.

Head to head on the dot, Sissons leads Gaudreau 21–20.

In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Frederick Gaudreau rates ahead, -1.3 to -2.1 in summed category z-scores.

Role trend over the last 5 games: Sissons is steady, 4 P in last 5 (0.15/GP before); Gaudreau is steady, 4 P in last 5 (0.40/GP before).

  • • Sissons, 2026-27 so far: 11 GP, 2 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • Sissons, last 10 games (Sep 30–Oct 20): 2 G, 3 A, 0 PPP, 13 SOG.
  • • Gaudreau, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 5 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 12 SOG.

Toronto Maple Leafs · Seattle Kraken · Who should I start? · Compare other players

Fantasy value: your scoring

Colton Sissons

-2.1

category z-score total

Frederick Gaudreau

-1.3

category z-score total

Under Standard (6 categories), Frederick Gaudreau has the edge (Sissons wins 2, Gaudreau wins 4 of 6 categories).

Per-stat breakdown under Standard (6 categories)
CategorySissonsGaudreau
Goals / game0.130.26
Assists / game0.160.23
Plus/minus / game-0.060.11
Power-play points / game0.020.03
Shots on goal / game1.151.10
Hits / game1.810.47

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.

Head-to-head: Sissons vs Gaudreau

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SissonsGaudreau
9Team record in 17 meetings8
6Points in those games7

Sissons 2G 4A, 25 SOG · Gaudreau 3G 4A, 26 SOG

21Faceoffs against each other20

Sissons's offensive zone 3–7 · neutral 8–8 · Sissons's defensive zone 10–5 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Sissons blocked 0 of Gaudreau's shots; Gaudreau blocked 1 of Sissons's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Sissons's side)

15:39 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Sissons's side

Shot attempts
16–9
64.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.1
88.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Colton Sissons and Frederick Gaudreau
DateScoreSissonsGaudreau
2026-04-15VGK 4–1 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2026-04-09VGK 3–4 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-11VGK 1–2 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-18NSH 6–2 MIN1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-31NSH 3–5 MIN1G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-30NSH 2–3 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-10NSH 3–4 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-29NSH 6–1 MIN0G 2A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-25NSH 3–2 MIN0G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2023-11-30NSH 1–6 MIN0G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2023-04-13NSH 4–3 MIN0G 1A 4S2G 0A 3S
2023-02-19NSH 3–4 MIN0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Faceoffs: Sissons vs Gaudreau

Model: Colton Sissons wins 57.8% of draws against Frederick Gaudreau on average (R shot vs R shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.

Colton Sissons's predicted win % against Frederick Gaudreau at each dot, in Sissons's attacking direction, at home and on the road.
Sissons atOZ leftOZ rightNZ left (att.)NZ right (att.)CentreNZ left (def.)NZ right (def.)DZ leftDZ right
Home51%64%52%65%58%52%65%53%66%
Road50%62%51%63%58%51%63%52%65%

Head-to-head 2023-24 to 2025-26: Sissons 14–8 (63.6%). Blended with the model: 58.1%. The record is normal luck for this matchup (z 0.6); pair-specific edges are about ±2 points, so the model carries most of the weight.

Sissons faceoffs · Gaudreau faceoffs · how the model works

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SissonsGaudreau

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below

Every stat, side by side (continued)

SissonsGaudreau

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.

Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring

Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Colton Sissons

4games (2 left)

1.9proj. ESPN default pts

  • Mon, Oct 19 vs SJS
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
  • Tue, Oct 20 @ CBJB2B
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 22 vs NYR1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to Cvs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sat, Oct 24 @ EDM1.0 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +1.8 win%Likely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
Seattle Kraken logo

Frederick Gaudreau

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN default pts

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Colton Sissons or Frederick Gaudreau in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Frederick Gaudreau projects to 1.39 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Sissons's 1.04. Sissons had 11 points in 66 games; Gaudreau had 24 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Colton Sissons or Frederick Gaudreau?
On 2025-26 numbers, Colton Sissons leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sissons and Gaudreau done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Sissons's team went 9–8. Sissons had 6 points (2 goals) and Gaudreau had 7 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Sissons or Gaudreau?
Against each other, Sissons has won 21 and Gaudreau 20 of their 41 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →