Small sample so far. Last season: 2025-26, 65 GP, 13 G, 30 A, 43 P.
LW · BUF · NHL id 8484145
Zach Benson projections tonight
All NHL projections todayTonight vs Philadelphia Flyers, 7:30 PM ET
Projected stats for tonight. Tap a stat for the full slate. · Sabres projections today
Odds tonight · edges unproven
| Line | Ours | Fair | Market | Best price | Edge | Live record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime goal | 19% | +437 | 29%* | +275 FanDuel | −30.1% | 639 bets, −11.9% |
| Over 0.5 points | 56% | -125 | 50% | -109 BetOnline | +6.4% | 222 bets, −15.9% |
| Over 0.5 assists | 50% | -101 | 34% | +180 DraftKings | +41.0% | 222 bets, −33.8% |
| Over 1.5 shots | 67% | -203 | 62% | -190 BetMGM | +2.3% | 54 bets, −8.3% |
US sportsbook lines via The Odds API, as of 10:00 AM ET; prices move. Edge is the expected return per $1 at the best price if our projection is right, and it is unproven. Live since Oct 12 (3,934 graded lines): the market was more accurate on points and assists, about even on shots on goal. Live record: how our 5%+ edges on the over (or Yes) side of that market have done, flat bets at the best price. Unders are not shown: our projections run a few points below the market on overs, mostly from ice-time misses, so under edges are usually model error. *Anytime goal is a Yes-only market, so its market chance still includes the margin. Model vs market record. Projections, not picks.
Fantasy outlook
+41.4 in 18 days- G
- 0.30
- A
- 1.20
- PTS
- 1.50
- SOG
- 4.6
- HIT
- 1.6
- BLK
- 0.9
- PPP
- 0.47
Zach Benson has played 9 games for the Buffalo Sabres in 2026-27, scoring 0 goals and 6 assists (6 points) on 18 shots while averaging 19:52 a night (14:23 at even strength, 3:41 on the power play and 1:33 shorthanded). At 5v5 he has skated 89% of his 5v5 minutes with Noah Ostlund and 83% with Jack Quinn over the last 9 games, and the Sabres have controlled 66% of shot attempts with Benson on the ice (7-3 in goals, 82% offensive-zone starts). In the Sabres' most recent game against MTL he was on L1 with Jack Quinn and Noah Ostlund and on PP1; moved up to L1 (from L2) in the last game. He is shooting 0.0% this season against 10.3% across the 233 games in our data.
Right now
From the Oct 17 game vs MTL, detected from shift data
- +2:28 PP TOI
- PP1 in 5 of last 5 (was 5 of 20)
- Line Watch: moved up a line Oct 15
- 77% of 5v5 TOI with Quinn (was 25%)
Zach Benson news
- 3 Takeaways From the Sabres’ 5-3 Win Over the PanthersThe Hockey Writers
- Sabres Announce the 2026-27 Opening Night RosterThe Hockey Writers
- Sabres’ Power Play Has to Be a Success in 2026-27The Hockey Writers
- Addressing the Sabres’ Forward LogjamThe Hockey Writers
- Sabres Weekly: Prospect Challenge Underway, Ostlund Extension & MoreThe Hockey Writers
- 5 Value Contracts That Set the Buffalo Sabres Up for the FutureThe Hockey Writers
- Which Sabres “Breakout” Player from 2025-26 Can Grow Even More?The Hockey Writers
- Sabres Have One of the NHL’s Most Enviable Long-Term CoresThe Hockey Writers
Headlines via LineupExperts. Links open the original publisher.
Deployment timeline
2026-27 · per-game ice time by strength, with line and power-play unit changes
Usage: 9 games, 19:37 average time on ice, PP1 in 9 games, 5 line changes.
- Even strength
- Power play
- Penalty kill
- 5-game average
- Did not play
- ▲ promoted · ▼ demoted
NHL EDGE tracking
2025-26 percentiles among skaters at his position
Only 9 GP in 2026-27; showing 2025-26 NHL EDGE data.
Season-level NHL EDGE puck and player tracking, refreshed nightly. The percentile is the league rank among skaters this season; the label at the right is the raw value.
Shot map
2026-27 · 41 attempts, 18 on goal, 0 goals
Shot map, OPP at BUF: 41 attempts, 18 on goal, 0 goals, 3.01 expected goals; best chance Zach Benson at 0.30 xG.
- Even strength
- Power play
- Penalty kill
- Goal
- Shot on goal
- Missed
- Blocked
Luck
2026-27 · 9 GP · 6 points vs 7.2 expected
- 0.0%
- 101.1
- 54.5%
- G vs xG
- 0 / 2.4
- • Only 9 games: treat the meter as a hint.
- Actual goals
- Expected
- ±1σ
- Above expected
- Below expected
Shots on goal projection
Oct 21 vs PHI · projected 21:03 TOI (4:14 PP) · 5v5 matchup +1%
- Expected SOG
- 2.40
- 2+ SOG
- 67%
- 3+ SOG
- 42%
- 4+ SOG
- 23%
Last 7 projected games: 15.6 expected, 17 actual; Benson beat the projection 3 times.
| Game | Expected | 3+ chance | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 vs MTL | 2.25 | 39% | 3 |
| Oct 15 vs TOR | 2.37 | 42% | 4 |
| Oct 13 vs MTL | 2.17 | 37% | 1 |
| Oct 12 vs FLA | 2.12 | 36% | 2 |
| Oct 10 vs UTA | 2.19 | 37% | 1 |
| Oct 8 vs DAL | 2.19 | 37% | 4 |
| Oct 6 vs MIN | 2.28 | 40% | 2 |
Player analytics
Compare with another player →2025-26 regular season. Rank is among all qualified players; the bar is his percentile among forwards. Each stat links to its explainer.
- 2026-27 so far: 9 GP, 0 G, 6 A, 1 PPP, 18 SOG.
Fantasy box score
- Games played65
- Goals13227th of 715
- Assists30135th of 715
- Points43172nd of 715
- Power-play points5261st of 715
- Shorthanded points238th of 715
- Shots on goal116244th of 715
- Hits40463rd of 715
- Blocked shots22561st of 715
- Plus/minus+2724th of 715
- Penalty minutes42165th of 715
- Faceoffs won7329th of 715
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
- Corsi (CF%)52.3%170th of 719
- Fenwick (FF%)52.7%149th of 719
- Expected goals (xGF%)53.4%167th of 719
- Sequence xG (sxGF%)53.6%155th of 719
- High-danger chances (HDCF%)54.0%154th of 719
- Scoring chances (SCF%)50.2%313th of 719
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
- Transition attempts /600.72423rd of 719
- Turnover Ledger /60−0.014186th of 719
- Forecheck xG /60 (on-ice)0.21593rd of 719
- Faceoff win %46.7%
- Draw Equity /100−0.015
Usage
- Ice time per game15:53375th of 715
- Power-play time per game1:43229th of 715
- Offensive-zone start %49.4%382nd of 719
Special teams & discipline
- Net penalties drawn /600.00267th of 719
Luck & trend
- On-ice PDO104040th of 719
- Goals above expected−1.3504th of 715
- Luck Meter+31147th of 828
- Ascension score67118th of 622
NHL EDGE tracking
- Top skating speed22.1448th of 715
- 20+ mph bursts74279th of 715
- Hardest shot80.9658th of 715
- Offensive-zone time43.1%226th of 715
Unranked rows are below the sample minimum (20 GP, 200 five-on-five minutes, 100 draws or 10 goalie games).
Beyond the box score
2025-26 regular season · 65 of 65 games through the sequence engine
- −0.017
- Season net
- −0.24xG
5-on-5. Each takeaway is credited, and each giveaway charged, at the league xG value of the zone.
- Per 60
- 0.72
- Attempts
- 10
- 0.040
5-on-5 shots within 10 seconds of winning the puck outside the offensive zone.
Role changes
Notable promotions, demotions and ice-time swings from Line Watch
- Moved up to L1 from L2May 14, 2026 alerts →
- Moved up to L2 from L4Mar 12, 2026 alerts →
- Moved up to L2 from L4Mar 10, 2026 alerts →
- Dropped off PP1 to PP2Jan 10, 2026 alerts →
- Dropped off PP1 to PP2Jan 8, 2026 alerts →
- Dropped off PP1 to PP2Dec 23, 2025 alerts →
- Moved up to PP1 from PP2Dec 15, 2024 alerts →
- Moved up to PP1 from PP2Jan 20, 2024 alerts →
How the goals happened
37 goals since 2023-24 with NHL EDGE tracking: press Replay to watch the tracking animation
| Game | Play | Entry | Passes | Shot mph | Notes | Replay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 @ MTL | Rebound | — | 3* | 13.2 | rebound | |
| May 12, 2026 @ MTL | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 21.8 | — | |
| May 8, 2026 vs MTL | Deflection | — | 2* | 15.5 | — | |
| May 1, 2026 @ BOS | Rush | loose | 0 | 54.9 | — | |
| Apr 26, 2026 @ BOS | Deflection | — | 1 | 6.8 | — | |
| Apr 15, 2026 vs DAL | Odd-man rush | carry | 1 | 35.9 | 1-on-0 | |
| Apr 8, 2026 @ NYR | Odd-man rush | loose | 0 | 33.9 | 2-on-0 | |
| Apr 8, 2026 @ NYR | Deflection | — | 2* | 26.9 | one-timer | |
| Mar 25, 2026 vs BOS | Deflection | — | 1 | 14.9 | deflection | |
| Mar 22, 2026 @ ANA | Rebound | — | 0 | 35.3 | rebound | |
| Mar 21, 2026 @ LAK | Rush | carry | 0 | 62.0 | — | |
| Feb 2, 2026 @ FLA | Odd-man rush | loose | 2* | 25.3 | 1-on-0 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 @ MTL | Rebound | — | 3 | 5.6 | rebound | |
| Jan 12, 2026 vs FLA | Rebound | — | 0 | 2.5 | rebound | |
| Dec 29, 2025 @ STL | Rush | loose | 1 | 17.9 | — | |
| Dec 14, 2025 @ SEA | Odd-man rush | pass | 1 | 49.2 | 2-on-1 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 @ VAN | Cycle | — | 5 | 24.6 | one-timer | |
| Mar 12, 2025 @ DET | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 35.1 | — | |
| Jan 28, 2025 vs BOS | Deflection | — | 3* | 26.3 | deflection | |
| Jan 17, 2025 vs PIT | Odd-man rush | pass | 1* | 25.1 | 3-on-2, one-timer | |
| Jan 2, 2025 @ COL | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 26.5 | — | |
| Dec 27, 2024 vs CHI | Deflection | carry | 2* | 16.3 | — | |
| Dec 23, 2024 @ NYI | Rush | carry | 3* | 4.9 | — | |
| Dec 9, 2024 vs DET | Odd-man rush | pass | 1* | 60.4 | 3-on-2 | |
| Nov 14, 2024 vs STL | Cycle | — | 3* | 55.3 | — | |
| Nov 9, 2024 vs CGY | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 26.8 | — | |
| Nov 7, 2024 @ NYR | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 33.9 | — | |
| Apr 15, 2024 @ TBL | Deflection | — | 0 | 19.7 | — | |
| Apr 11, 2024 vs WSH | Deflection | — | 3 | 40.0 | deflection | |
| Mar 14, 2024 vs NYI | Odd-man rush | loose | 0 | 36.3 | 1-on-0 | |
| Mar 14, 2024 vs NYI | Deflection | — | 2 | 29.1 | deflection | |
| Mar 12, 2024 vs DET | Cycle | — | 0 | 6.3 | — | |
| Feb 19, 2024 vs ANA | Deflection | — | 2 | 25.3 | deflection | |
| Feb 13, 2024 vs LAK | Forecheck turnover | — | 2* | 27.1 | — | |
| Dec 15, 2023 @ VGK | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 21.5 | — | |
| Dec 13, 2023 @ COL | Rebound | — | 0 | 23.9 | rebound | |
| Nov 22, 2023 @ WSH | Forecheck turnover | — | 0 | 20.4 | — |
* includes a royal-road (cross-slot) pass. Derived from NHL EDGE puck and player tracking.
Linemates
2026-27 · 5v5 time together and how each pairing performs with and without Benson
| Teammate | Pos | GP | Share | CF% together | GF% together | CF% Benson apart | CF% mate apart | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Ostlund | C | 9 | 111:38 | 89% | 65.1% | 75% (6-2) | 70.6% 14:30 | 34.4% 15:50 |
| Jack Quinn | RW | 9 | 104:43 | 83% | 67.6% | 75% (6-2) | 57.9% 21:25 | 25.6% 24:56 |
| Mattias Samuelsson | D | 9 | 53:31 | 42% | 72.0% | 67% (2-1) | 61.7% 72:37 | 47.1% 124:00 |
| Owen Power | D | 9 | 50:57 | 40% | 61.1% | 50% (2-2) | 69.1% 75:11 | 52.0% 132:14 |
| Olen Zellweger | D | 8 | 37:54 | 30% | 64.6% | 75% (3-1) | 65.9% 74:56 | 54.2% 103:02 |
| Louis Crevier | D | 9 | 36:07 | 29% | 60.0% | 60% (3-2) | 68.6% 90:01 | 44.2% 78:43 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | D | 6 | 35:42 | 28% | 68.9% | 100% (1-0) | 63.5% 47:51 | 49.6% 80:59 |
| Zach Metsa | D | 8 | 25:34 | 20% | 68.2% | 100% (1-0) | 65.6% 85:36 | 40.4% 62:22 |
| Josh Doan | RW | 2 | 10:18 | 8% | 59.3% | 50% (1-1) | 68.0% 13:54 | 41.7% 16:58 |
| Dennis Gilbert | D | 3 | 8:51 | 7% | 66.7% | 100% (2-0) | 66.7% 33:44 | 47.5% 20:01 |
| Tage Thompson | C | 2 | 2:54 | 2% | 66.7% | — (0-0) | 65.2% 29:16 | 46.2% 31:05 |
| Matt Grzelcyk | D | 1 | 2:51 | 2% | 100.0% | — (0-0) | 66.7% 10:27 | 30.0% 10:30 |
| Josh Norris | C | 1 | 1:10 | 1% | 0.0% | — (0-0) | 64.0% 12:52 | 43.5% 8:21 |
Zach Benson: shot types, linemates and props
Shots by type
| Type | SOG | G | G* | Share* | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrist | 7 | 0 | 166 | 16 | 9.6% | 47.2% |
| Snap | 9 | 0 | 56 | 6 | 10.7% | 15.9% |
| Tip-in | 2 | 0 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% | 13.9% |
| Backhand | 0 | 0 | 47 | 2 | 4.3% | 13.4% |
| Slap | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 3.1% |
| Deflected | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Wrap-around | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2.0% |
| Other | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1.4% |
* Regular seasons 2023-24 to 2026-27. This season is 18 shots so far; shooting % by type needs hundreds of shots to settle, so read the share, not the percentage. Source: NHL stats.
Linemates, last 9 games
Most often with Jack Quinn and Noah Ostlund (8 of 9 games): a settled line. Ostlund 9 · Quinn 8 · Doan 1 (games as a top-two 5v5 linemate). Linemates game by game
Linemate and opposition quality
2026-27 · 5v5 · 126 min on ice · ranked against 257 forwards
teammates' average xGF%
79th percentile · higher = stronger linemates
opponents' average ice-time share
57th percentile · higher = faces more top-line minutes
Plays with stronger-than-usual linemates.
QoT averages the season xGF% of Benson's 5v5 teammates; QoC averages how much of their team's ice time Benson's opponents get, so a high QoC means facing top lines. Both are weighted by time shared on the ice, lean on last season for small samples, and are ranked within forwards or defence.
Usage by score state
2026-27, 9 games, topped up with last season.
- Leading
- 16.4
- min per 60
- Tied
- 17.5
- min per 60
- Trailing
- 18.2
- min per 60
Benson plays 108 more seconds per 60 minutes when the team trails than when it leads: more minutes when chasing a game. Power play: 3.1 min per 60 trailing, against 2.2 leading. On the ice for 44% of the team's 6-on-5 time (1:43 of 3:52).
Garbage time: 0 of 6 points (0%) came with the team up or down 3+. League garbage-time table
Next game vs PHI (2026-10-21): team win probability ≈65%, projected 17:27 TOI (−0:06 from the expected script). Game-script forecast
Game log
9 games in 2026-27, newest first
| Date | Opp | Result | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | PIM | HIT | BLK | EV | PP | PK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | @ MTL | OTL 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33% | 21:17 | 14:08 | 4:58 | 1:51 |
| Oct 15 | @ TOR | W 5-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | 21:18 | 18:02 | 1:44 | 1:32 |
| Oct 13 | @ MTL | OTL 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 19:36 | 12:51 | 5:18 | 1:27 |
| Oct 12 | vs FLA | W 5-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50% | 19:40 | 11:55 | 4:49 | 1:56 |
| Oct 10 | vs UTA | L 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 19:54 | 12:51 | 3:32 | 2:56 |
| Oct 8 | vs DAL | L 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 50% | 18:18 | 14:03 | 3:03 | 1:06 |
| Oct 6 | vs MIN | W 3-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 20:41 | 15:55 | 2:44 | 2:02 |
| Oct 3 | vs CHI | W 4-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 33% | 19:33 | 16:28 | 2:33 | 0:32 |
| Oct 1 | @ CBJ | L 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | — | 18:34 | 13:18 | 4:27 | 0:31 |
Season splits by strength
2026-27 regular season · on-ice numbers from shift and play-by-play data
| Strength | GP | TOI/GP | SA | GF | GA | GF% | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All situations | 9 | 178:51 | 19:52 | 211 | 115 | 64.7% | 63.3% | 97 | 53 | 11 | 5 | 69% | 11.9 | 7.9 | 77% |
| Even strength | 9 | 129:31 | 14:23 | 150 | 80 | 65.2% | 63.4% | 64 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 7.5 | 4.2 | 82% |
| 5v5 | 9 | 126:08 | 14:01 | 149 | 77 | 65.9% | 64.4% | 63 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 7.2 | 3.6 | 82% |
| Power play | 9 | 33:08 | 3:41 | 54 | 9 | 85.7% | 85.2% | 30 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 3.9 | 0.5 | 100% |
| Penalty kill | 9 | 13:53 | 1:33 | 3 | 24 | 11.1% | 13.0% | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 0.4 | 2.7 | 0% |
| 3v3 (OT) | 3 | 3:17 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.3 | 0.6 | — |
| 5v4 | 9 | 30:35 | 3:24 | 45 | 8 | 84.9% | 85.4% | 28 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 3.4 | 0.5 | 100% |
| 4v5 | 9 | 13:53 | 1:33 | 3 | 24 | 11.1% | 13.0% | 2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 0.4 | 2.7 | 0% |
| 5v3 | 1 | 2:00 | 2:00 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.4 | 0.0 | — |
Career by season
Regular season and playoffs since 2023-24. Seasons link to the team's stats that year; column headers open the league leaderboards.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | SOG | PPP | SHP | GWG | HIT | BLK | TK | GV | FOW | FO% | TOI/GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | BUF | 9 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 8 | 18 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 33.3% | 19:52 |
| 2025-26Playoffs | BUF | 13 | 5 | 4 | 9 | +6 | 64 | 26 | 19.2% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 17:06 |
| 2025-26 | BUF | 65 | 13 | 30 | 43 | +27 | 42 | 116 | 11.2% | 5 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 25 | 46 | 7 | 46.7% | 15:53 |
| 2024-25 | BUF | 75 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -2 | 60 | 120 | 8.3% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 29 | 19 | 41 | 4 | 19.0% | 14:49 |
| 2023-24 | BUF | 71 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -3 | 36 | 98 | 11.2% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 35 | 31 | 20 | 5 | 29.4% | 14:31 |
- Completed seasons use the NHL's official power-play and shorthanded totals.
- Recording changed in 2024-25: giveaways roughly doubled and takeaways fell by a third, so compare within a season.
Zach Benson news
- 3 Takeaways From the Sabres’ 5-3 Win Over the PanthersThe Hockey Writers
- Sabres Announce the 2026-27 Opening Night RosterThe Hockey Writers
- Sabres’ Power Play Has to Be a Success in 2026-27The Hockey Writers
- Addressing the Sabres’ Forward LogjamThe Hockey Writers
- Sabres Weekly: Prospect Challenge Underway, Ostlund Extension & MoreThe Hockey Writers
- 5 Value Contracts That Set the Buffalo Sabres Up for the FutureThe Hockey Writers
- Which Sabres “Breakout” Player from 2025-26 Can Grow Even More?The Hockey Writers
- Sabres Have One of the NHL’s Most Enviable Long-Term CoresThe Hockey Writers
Headlines via LineupExperts. Links open the original publisher.
On-ice and deployment numbers are derived by Edgehalla from NHL play-by-play and shift data. Tracking percentiles are from NHL EDGE. Data updates after every game.
