Who to start · 2025-26
Alexander Kerfoot vs Eetu Luostarinen
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eetu Luostarinen projects to 1.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.17.
Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; Luostarinen had 33 in 73 games.
This week Kerfoot has 3 games left with 1 tough matchup; Luostarinen has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. In ESPN default points scoring we project Kerfoot for 3.3 to Luostarinen's 2.7 over the games left.
Eetu Luostarinen has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kerfoot's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.9, Faceoff win % 51.1%, Luck Meter +55.
Luostarinen's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.50, Hits 121, High-danger chances 53.8%.
In standard categories (G, A, +/-, PPP, SOG, HIT), the default in Who Should I Start, Eetu Luostarinen rates ahead, -1.1 to -3.0 in summed category z-scores.
Role trend over the last 5 games: Kerfoot is rising, +2:19 TOI a game; Luostarinen is falling, 0 P in last 5 (0.50/GP before).
- • Kerfoot, 2026-27 so far: 8 GP, 1 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • Luostarinen, 2026-27 so far: 10 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 15 SOG.
Nashville Predators · Florida Panthers · Who should I start? · Compare other players
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alexander Kerfoot
-3.0
category z-score total
Eetu Luostarinen
-1.1
category z-score total
Under Standard (6 categories), Eetu Luostarinen has the edge (Kerfoot wins 2, Luostarinen wins 4 of 6 categories).
| Category | Kerfoot | Luostarinen |
|---|---|---|
| Goals / game | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Assists / game | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| Plus/minus / game | -0.13 | -0.05 |
| Power-play points / game | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Shots on goal / game | 0.84 | 1.48 |
| Hits / game | 0.79 | 1.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your scoring choice is shared with Who Should I Start: saved on this device, and on your account when you are signed in.
Head-to-head: Kerfoot vs Luostarinen
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kerfoot 4G 1A, 26 SOG · Luostarinen 1G 3A, 15 SOG
Kerfoot's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–1 · Kerfoot's defensive zone 0–0 (2021-22 to 2022-23)
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kerfoot | Luostarinen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-28 | UTA 1–2 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-08 | UTA 1–4 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-24 | ARI 2–6 FLA | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-02 | ARI 1–4 FLA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-05-12 · PO | TOR 2–3 FLA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-05-10 · PO | TOR 2–1 FLA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-05-07 · PO | TOR 2–3 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-05-04 · PO | TOR 2–3 FLA | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-05-02 · PO | TOR 2–4 FLA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-10 | TOR 2–1 FLA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-03-29 | TOR 2–3 FLA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-03-23 | TOR 6–2 FLA | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Faceoffs: Kerfoot vs Luostarinen
Model: Alexander Kerfoot wins 50.8% of draws against Eetu Luostarinen on average (L shot vs L shot). Same-handed, so the dot decides who is on his strong side; the gap between the left and right dots is the real matchup.
| Kerfoot at | OZ left | OZ right | NZ left (att.) | NZ right (att.) | Centre | NZ left (def.) | NZ right (def.) | DZ left | DZ right |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 59% | 41% | 60% | 43% | 51% | 60% | 43% | 61% | 44% |
| Road | 58% | 40% | 59% | 41% | 51% | 59% | 41% | 60% | 42% |
They have not faced each other on a draw in the seasons we track.
Kerfoot faceoffs · Luostarinen faceoffs · how the model works
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs, Usage, Special teams & discipline, Luck & trend, NHL EDGE tracking continue below
Every stat, side by side (continued)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Oct 19 to Oct 25. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections cover the games left: Edgehalla's rest-of-season rates per game, adjusted for each opponent's scoring allowed, in ESPN default points.
Scored in ESPN default points (G 2, A 1, PPP 0.5, SHP 0.5, SOG 0.1, HIT 0.1, BLK 0.5). Use your league's scoring
Alexander Kerfoot
3games
3.3proj. ESPN default pts
- Thu, Oct 22 @ BOS1.0 pts
- Sat, Oct 24 @ PIT1.2 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Eetu Luostarinen
3games (2 left)
2.7proj. ESPN default pts
- Wed, Oct 21 @ OTTOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)
- Sun, Oct 25 @ CHI1.4 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alexander Kerfoot or Eetu Luostarinen in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eetu Luostarinen projects to 1.28 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexander Kerfoot's 1.17. Kerfoot had 13 points in 34 games; Luostarinen had 33 in 73 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alexander Kerfoot or Eetu Luostarinen?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Eetu Luostarinen leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kerfoot and Luostarinen done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Kerfoot's team went 5–11. Kerfoot had 5 points (4 goals) and Luostarinen had 4 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kerfoot or Luostarinen?
- Against each other, Kerfoot has won 0 and Luostarinen 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →